2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 637917 times)
GALeftist
sansymcsansface
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Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #75 on: November 05, 2020, 02:20:10 PM »

This thread explains pretty well why Trump probably can’t win AZ:



I'm still nervous. Isn't he tracking almost exactly on what he needs to win it?

Not good enough. If I'm not mistaken a lot of the remaining ballots are from Gallego's district (i.e. more Dem than Maricopa). Trump probably wants to be overperforming in Maricopa to make room for those ballots being more disappointing.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #76 on: November 05, 2020, 02:21:20 PM »



Good to know! Thanks!!!

WOW!  The fraud is coincidentally all in the battleground states Trump lost.  Can't believe it.

Democrat run states.


Georgia is a Democrat-run state? News to me!

No fraud in Georgia.

Trump's campaign just tried a failed lawsuit in Georgia claiming fraud and electoral counting malpractice. Try again.

There you go. There is no fraud in Georgia. Says the court.

Courts also said that in Nevada and Pennsylvania

They didn't say that in Pennsylvania.


Yes they did, the PA Supreme Court kicked them right out of the courthouse

Final ruling said they must leave the courthouse?

No, Chief Justice Saylor took out a bat (with a gavel at the end) and beat them until they were out the door.
Did this actually happen or is this just a metaphor?

Bruh... LOL. It's an obvious joke. Angry

Yeah, sorry. My point was the PA Supreme Court did not rule in favor of the Trump campaign with respect to the "vote watchers" or whatever they were complaining about.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #77 on: November 05, 2020, 03:54:44 PM »

Ugh, all this whining from Spanberger. Why are so many people in the Democratic caucus so lame?
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #78 on: November 05, 2020, 03:58:39 PM »

Ugh, all this whining from Spanberger. Why are so many people in the Democratic caucus so lame?

She's not wrong.

The national GOP is way worse than the national Dems and individual Republicans like Fitzpatrick win in unfriendly territory all the time. I'd argue that this cycle if you lost it was either just unwinnable in a presidential year or it was your fault.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #79 on: November 05, 2020, 04:02:07 PM »

I mean I’m glad Spanberger hung on but girl like.... complaining about a BLM attack ad against you and blaming leadership? It’s called a campaign. Learn to run one better next time so you can fight off these attacks.

She's right though.

"Defund the police" sounds really bad.

Cool. No one in the Democratic leadership ever said to defund the police. So, again, Spanberger should be able to run her own campaign without blaming others for nearly losing.

But Rashida Tlaib and AOC were all about defunding and their words were used against DMP and Spanberger

Again, if nuts like Steve King and Jim Jordan aren't sinking Fitzpatrick and Katko, there's no excuse, especially against Nick Freitas. If you want to be safer run a better campaign.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #80 on: November 05, 2020, 04:08:56 PM »

I mean I’m glad Spanberger hung on but girl like.... complaining about a BLM attack ad against you and blaming leadership? It’s called a campaign. Learn to run one better next time so you can fight off these attacks.

She's right though.

"Defund the police" sounds really bad.

Cool. No one in the Democratic leadership ever said to defund the police. So, again, Spanberger should be able to run her own campaign without blaming others for nearly losing.

But Rashida Tlaib and AOC were all about defunding and their words were used against DMP and Spanberger

Awesome. Maybe Spanberger should complain about them then? But to be honest, she really should take responsibility for her own election results. Stop scapegoating others for your own crappy results.

Spanberger is saying that the leadership should have put its foot down and tell Rashida Tlaib and AOC to knock it off, or else...

Or else what? None of them are vulnerable, their bases are too strong to be primaries and they're in safe seats.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #81 on: November 05, 2020, 04:12:28 PM »

Anyways, if these losers are looking for someone outside of themselves to blame for their electoral performance, why don't they blame Robby Mook? Have no idea how they gave that clown the Majority PAC after 2016's unmitigated embarrassment.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #82 on: November 05, 2020, 04:16:25 PM »

I mean I’m glad Spanberger hung on but girl like.... complaining about a BLM attack ad against you and blaming leadership? It’s called a campaign. Learn to run one better next time so you can fight off these attacks.

She's right though.

"Defund the police" sounds really bad.

Cool. No one in the Democratic leadership ever said to defund the police. So, again, Spanberger should be able to run her own campaign without blaming others for nearly losing.

But Rashida Tlaib and AOC were all about defunding and their words were used against DMP and Spanberger

Awesome. Maybe Spanberger should complain about them then? But to be honest, she really should take responsibility for her own election results. Stop scapegoating others for your own crappy results.

Spanberger is saying that the leadership should have put its foot down and tell Rashida Tlaib and AOC to knock it off, or else...

Or else what? None of them are vulnerable, their bases are too strong to be primaries and they're in safe seats.

Kick them off the committee. If they still don't back down, kick them out of the caucus.

House Democrats can take a two seats loss.

This would be a good way to lose 2024. Like it or not, these progressive reps have a national base, and that base probably swung some close races like WI and maybe even AZ and GA by holding their nose and voting for Biden. I know that I was one of those voters, at least to an extent. It's not all about those 4-8 house seats.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #83 on: November 05, 2020, 04:40:59 PM »

Trump will still eek this out in my opinion.

Stop the presses.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #84 on: November 05, 2020, 04:42:16 PM »


Surely GA and PA can't BOTH take until next week...

...right guys?
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #85 on: November 05, 2020, 05:06:06 PM »

He did win.

Notice how it's the blue precincts that always have election irregularities/just enough ballots in the end to magically put dems on the top:



I am absolutely flabbergasted that mail in votes from Atlanta and Savannah are heavily Democratic. Truly voter fraud on an unbelievable scale.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #86 on: November 05, 2020, 05:46:47 PM »


King sh!t. So glad he pulled through.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #87 on: November 05, 2020, 07:27:08 PM »

At what point does George W. Bush come out and say enough is enough?

He won't because of George P. Bush and his future political career... but he should.

Please. My state is on the verge of finally pulling itself together. Let me erase the existence of GPB from my mind just for a bit longer.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #88 on: November 05, 2020, 08:50:10 PM »

From 538 blog:


NATE SILVER
NOV. 5, 8:42 PM
This is interesting. The Democratic Senate candidate in Alaska, Al Gross, is claiming he’ll win once all ballots are counted. (He currently trails by 31 points.) I’m not sure I buy that but … if no mail votes have been counted in Alaska yet, the results we do have so far could be significantly more friendly to Republicans than the final result. If so, that would presumably also affect the race for the presidency (where Biden trails by a similar margin to Gross) and the House (where Alyse Galvin is running a little better than Biden or Gross). It’s a long shot, but you might not want to totally sleep on this race.

Is Natey boy a lurker here?
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #89 on: November 05, 2020, 09:05:59 PM »



W H E W.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #90 on: November 05, 2020, 09:27:39 PM »

Are the military ballots likely to be upwards of 60% Dem?
No, military ballots skew R. They're basically all that's keeping Trump alive in GA once Clayton drops the rest of its' vote.

But it’s not all military ballots, also other abroad voters which skew Democratic, plus military has trended away from Trump this year.

I'm also seeing that the military vote might be from blacker counties in Georgia, though I'm uncertain if that's true or what it necessarily means.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #91 on: November 05, 2020, 10:13:44 PM »



Committing voter fraud to out cheat the libs!

But muh thousands of fraudulent votes!! Muh more discovered as events transpire!! M-m-muh Lationos4Trump will flip Nevada!!!
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #92 on: November 05, 2020, 11:08:26 PM »

Bob Casey is an idiot, and does not understand his state.  

I understand the white rural vote.  I'm a Hillbilly Whisperer.  

Where are all the Biden votes?

*crickets chirping*

This has to be ironic right
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #93 on: November 05, 2020, 11:52:58 PM »

I have to say, I'm really growing to love Bob Casey and Gary Peters over the last few days. Bob Casey clearly really knows and cares about his state, and Gary Peters has just been wonderful at handling all the typical BS from James. Between them and Tammy Baldwin, the Blue Wall has some quality representation in the Senate. Too bad Toomey and Johnson are such tumors.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #94 on: November 06, 2020, 12:02:42 AM »

How much vote is outstanding in PA now? Did Philly report? Is PA pretty much a done thing for Biden like we thought 8 hours ago when I went to bed?

What about Arizona. Any way that that is slipping from Biden?

I'm willing to call Pennsylvania if the pundits aren't. The swings are just demolishing Trump. It would take a little more than a small miracle for him to prevail there at this point.

Arizona I'm less certain of, but Trump keeps underperforming in these vote dumps. He's not underperforming by enough that I'd feel comfortable calling it like PA, but I would much rather be Biden than Trump even if the election hinged on AZ.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #95 on: November 06, 2020, 12:06:52 AM »

It's 12:01.

WHERE ARE MY BALLOTS, GEORGIA?!?

lol Clayton is still counting scanning and some people think the Secretary of State for Georgia might be done for the night.



R A F F E N S P E R G E R

#BarrowWouldHaveCounted
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #96 on: November 06, 2020, 10:26:38 AM »

I CANT BELIEVE IT

FELL ASLEEP DOING HW AND WOKE UP TO BIDEN LEADING

I LOVE MY STATE
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #97 on: November 06, 2020, 01:25:33 PM »

L M A O



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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #98 on: November 06, 2020, 03:07:32 PM »

A capable scam artist knows when to fold the tent and leave town:




Marjorie Taylor Greene is in for a rude awakening, it seems. Really hope that her endorsement proves to be a Faustian bargain for Loeffler.
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GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
« Reply #99 on: November 06, 2020, 03:29:57 PM »

Well I just donated $10 each to Ossoff and Warnock.

A big thank you from Georgia!!! Smiley
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