Rate IL-3 Dem Primary

[Gracile]

It's a tossup, gun to my head Newman barely pulls it off.

[Gracile]

Lean Lipinski as the progressive wing will be divided between Newman and another left wing candidate.
Illinois has also open primaries thus I could see some conservative voters  crossing over to support Lipinski

The other left-wing candidate in the race is a total nobody; Newman pretty much has a monopoly over the progressive wing in this district (in terms of energy, support, etc). I don't think it will make that much of a difference.

[Gracile]

Lean Lipinski as the progressive wing will be divided between Newman and another left wing candidate.
Illinois has also open primaries thus I could see some conservative voters  crossing over to support Lipinski

However the race will take place at the same time as the Illinois Presidential Primary.

The presidential republican primary will be largely uncontested thus if you are a conservative voter who like Lipinski, you cross over and vote for Lipinski

There will still be higher turnout overall than last year's primary, which will include a number of left-leaners who may have sat out.