So, over a year ago I decided to ask this question. The purpose was to ask first before election season began, then after the Dem nominee had emerged, and finally before the election.
Here's the first thread, from June 2019. Results were No 50.8-Yes 49.2: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=323004.0
Here's the second thread, from April 2020. Results were No 58.1-Yes 41.9: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=368331.0
So, what about now? Does Trump get a better margin than the -29% one he got against Clinton? A reminder that "swing" refers to the change in margin between major party candidates.
Here are the past few presidential elections in comparison:
Aditionally, in 2018 the results were:
Gov: 59.9-39 Gillum
Sen: 60.6-39.4 Nelson
Cast your votes!
One thing is Gillum still did do better than Crist in MD county.
I think it swings right though, Cubans barely voted for Trump in 2016 while this year they seem more excited and going back to nearly 2018 numbers for Trump.
Poll
