2020 Absentee/Early Voting megathread 2 (user search)
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  2020 Absentee/Early Voting megathread 2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Absentee/Early Voting megathread 2  (Read 84575 times)
lfromnj
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« on: October 24, 2020, 01:48:07 PM »

Cool! With Hays at 97.5% after Friday it will definitely hit >100% of 2016 turnout today, which is mind blowing.  

Technically Hays turnout is still lower , its grown like 50% this decade FWIW, so nearly like 15% over for 4 years.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2020, 01:01:45 AM »
« Edited: October 28, 2020, 01:09:34 AM by #proudtikitorchmarcher »

Anyone want to give me a no-bullsh**t assessment of Nevada so I can go to sleep?

Are Dems actually in trouble?

Are Republicans gonna be able to steal it due to late VBM ballots?

Is Ralston for real or is he just screwing with us?

No SCOTUS will not strike down  Nevada's VBM deadline because a state can choose the deadline(I assume at least before December 14th,) Wisconsin chose Election day and Scotus said election day it is, Nevada's law is different and SCOTUS will not touch it. The Trump campaign sued IIRC a few months ago but SCOTUS didn't change anything. The only thing they would need to touch is perhaps specify the date the EC must be certified as the last day.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2020, 04:28:39 PM »
« Edited: October 28, 2020, 04:33:43 PM by #proudtikitorchmarcher »

Trump still has a easy path to an easy landslide victory in Texas, he just needs super high rural turnout to counter the Travis county turnout




https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Loving_County,_Texas
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lfromnj
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« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2020, 10:30:21 AM »

hot take: the reason SCOTUS is sort of leaving the PA case open is because Dems have returned their ballots at such a high rate and are so educated on the issue that the majority of late ballots might actually be REPUBLICAN.

No the reason SCOTUS is doing it differently in PA is because its a State court that ruled in a sh**tty manner rather than a lower level federal court as in Wisconsin.


In PA the state supreme court court is very D, while in WI its 3 R hacks, 1 non hack R, 3 Hack Ds. Hagedorn would not make up random law so Ds didnt sue in state court for Wisconsin.  In WI due to it having 2 D senators until 2010 and the method of blue slips its district courts are quite liberal leaning.  PA is the opposite as until 2006 its had 2 GOP senators. Scotus is less likely to overturn state law or a state supreme court ruling while there is 0 respect involved for a low level federal judge making a sh**tty ruling.


I like how atlas assumes hackery on all these SCOTUS cases when the R majority blocked an independent redistricting commission on Oregon in a similar case. An Emergency does not give federal judges the right to unilaterally change state law .
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lfromnj
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2020, 02:52:20 PM »

So that doubled turnout in the rio grande Valley went  100% to Trump
SHY TRUMP VOTERS
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lfromnj
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« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2020, 12:45:27 AM »


You didn't realize VA Counting bias?

anyway I knew Spanberger was good once I saw Biden winning VA beach by 9 points which came in before Henrico/Richmond/Chesterfield.
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