What % chance do you give for a 2019 Dem sweep?

[lfromnj]

0%

When it comes down to it Mississippi deplorable whites will not let a Democrat be their chief executive. I don't care that they have let Hood keep his little down ballot position for a couple terms past the implosion of the party in their state. All the Republican has to do is holler about abortion and gays and they will flock right to him.

I was also really down om hoods chances but considering a black corrupt man lost by 7 id say hood has a 20 to 25 percent chance

[lfromnj]

Wouldn't there be a small correlation coefficient between the races?

[lfromnj]

FYI yarmuth is mostly safe right from redistricting due to the constitution and splitting counties?
If they really tried I think they could get a D+2 district but that would be like Clinton +8 so almost Safe D.

[lfromnj]

LA: 75% Dem
MS: 50% Dem
KY: 30% Dem

Overall: 11.25%

MS and KY aren't that high.

Also there should be a small correlation coefficient  making your math something like 12 or 13 if you actually believe those numbers.

[lfromnj]

Also, you have to win the majority of counties to win the governorship in Mississippi, right? That pretty much locks any Democrat out.

No, you have to win the majority of state house districts.

This is also a myth. You only have to win if you fail to win a majority of the vote.  So this only affects the race in the scenario with a strong liberal 3rd party campaign(not unreasonable as Hood is white but Hood is getting black support in the primary anyway and race isn't everything for black voters.)
So considering how 2016 was a strong 3rd party year relatively it is unlikely this will affect the race but not impossible.