2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 644960 times)
soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« on: November 03, 2020, 10:43:52 AM »

Suburbs of Jefferson Parish — we haven’t stopped since 6. Think we’re close to 300 so far.
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 01:22:22 PM »
Precinct update: we just had our first real break in the line, six and a half hours after opening. Don’t really know anything about the results yet, but turnout definitely isn’t as high as it was in 2016. (Which is probably fine in this Trump area.)

I’ll give a sneak peak at results as soon as we print them out and post them.
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2020, 02:09:21 PM »
Quote from: Atlanta 1997 World Champs on November 03, 2020, 02:08:00 PM
Hopefully Biden wins today or this week, so we can move on

If these Florida numbers are any indication, we’ll know the winner tonight before midnight.
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 03:25:22 PM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 03, 2020, 03:24:27 PM
Quote from: Young Conservative on November 03, 2020, 03:22:00 PM
Quite confused why people think these Miami numbers are good for Biden.

E-day is still underperforming partisan registration in Miami and early voting (Early +VBM). The biggest warning signs in Florida remain south Florida for Democrats, but the GOP should be concerned about suburban Orlando and Jax.  IF you want to be optimistic for Bide, cite Seminole county, not Miami-Dade.

https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/

This is a great link to track how turnout relative to 2016 looks by partisan registration. Run by a GOP hack, but the data is solid, just a little delayed.



For me I just generally like that South Florida turnout is up a lot.  I feel like independents will probably lean Biden there and Republicans are more likely to crossover in places like Broward.  It just seems like the overall electorate is more urban/suburban than last time.

Yep, generally speaking this electorate looks a lot more like 2018’s than 2016’s so far.
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2020, 05:17:54 PM »
5:00 - Doom about exit polls
6:00 - Doom about KY/IN
7:00 - Doom about FL

Do I have this right?
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 06:06:42 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on November 03, 2020, 06:04:34 PM
CNN exit poll says electorate is 65% white, 13% Latino, 12% black.


BIDEN 388 MAP HERE WE COME
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2020, 06:18:09 PM »
Quote from: xavier110 on November 03, 2020, 06:17:32 PM
Biden's already at 2.3k votes in Greene County, IN. Hillary got 2,929 total there. LoL

It ain’t gonna be close, folks.
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2020, 06:21:20 PM »
Quote from: Buh her emails! on November 03, 2020, 06:20:49 PM
Are these early numbers good or bad for Biden?

With the caveat that they’re early, a small sample, and incomplete: they’re stellar.
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2020, 06:29:38 PM »
Hey psssssst guess what?

Joe Biden is going to win Texas.
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2020, 06:33:22 PM »
Quote from: Beet on November 03, 2020, 06:32:51 PM
Robertson County KY is 93% in and it's a... 2 point swing to TRUMP.

It ain’t gonna be enough. The slaughtering has begun.
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2020, 06:44:29 PM »
Quote from: NoobMaster69 on November 03, 2020, 06:43:21 PM


Just think: after tonight this man’s presidency is going to be a distant memory.
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2020, 07:39:04 PM »
The NYT needs to turn off the needle — it’s obviously overreacting given we don’t know the exact composition of the electorate.
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2020, 07:47:47 PM »
Quote from: Dr. RI, Trustbuster on November 03, 2020, 07:47:02 PM
Quote
Nate Cohn, in New York 5m ago

Trump is doing way better than '16 in Hispanic and Cuban areas, and better in Black areas. Biden is doing better in older, white areas, but not by as much.

Ok, now I’m gonna throw up.
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2020, 08:39:38 PM »

I’d say it’s at least a tiny bit warranted at the moment.
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2020, 09:52:53 PM »
Quote from: 7sergi9 on November 03, 2020, 09:52:21 PM


Ok, no, sorry, something is going on here with mail-in voting. This makes no sense.
Logged
soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2020, 10:25:06 PM »
Quote from: emailking on November 03, 2020, 10:24:24 PM
MSNBC projects Dems retain control of the House.

Well, this is something, at least. Makes tonight better than 2016.
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2020, 10:48:58 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 03, 2020, 10:48:25 PM
NBC projecting Dems to gain about 15 seats in the House.

From where??? If this is true, Biden’s chances look a lot better.
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2020, 10:52:17 PM »
That Wisconsin margin is narrowing rapidly. Can’t help but feel that’s good for Biden.
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2020, 10:54:51 PM »
Quote from: 7sergi9 on November 03, 2020, 10:53:57 PM


What in the absolute sh**t
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #19 on: November 04, 2020, 12:27:38 AM »
Quote from: 7sergi9 on November 04, 2020, 12:27:15 AM


ing  me
Logged
soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #20 on: November 04, 2020, 12:31:31 AM »
Quote from: 2,868,686 on November 04, 2020, 12:30:41 AM
I'm watching Fox right now and AZ is still blue...

Yeah, they deleted that tweet, so it’s probably not true.
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #21 on: November 04, 2020, 01:08:16 AM »

Looks good for NV. What in the finks happened with Latinos elsewhere?
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #22 on: November 04, 2020, 01:17:49 AM »
Quote from: BudgieForce on November 04, 2020, 01:17:00 AM
Biden has got to spend the next 4 years appealing to Hispanics. Like, some of these results are embarrassing, especially against Trump.

How about “all of these results”?
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #23 on: November 04, 2020, 01:30:38 AM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 04, 2020, 01:30:02 AM
What is the current thinking on Nevada?  I have always worried about this state but people told me to shut up because it won't be close.  Now I'm worried again.

It’s not close — Ralston’s call was definitely right, although maybe not for the reasons we expected.
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,632


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #24 on: November 04, 2020, 04:37:45 AM »
Biden’s now up almost 20k in Wisconsin.
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