2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Storr]

The swing maps are going to look incredibly bizarre........

Fitting for a year like 2020, I suppose.

[Storr]

Practically all of the rural vote in GA is already in. The remaining 20+% of the vote is extremely D friendly.

I want to believe.

[Storr]

Daines take the lead in Montana...

[Storr]

CNN says only 20% of Michigan's vote that's in is early vote, which is good news for Biden.

[Storr]

MSNBC changes Minnesota from Too Early to Call to Too Early to Call with Biden Leading, which means they think he'll win.

Relatedly, CNN projects Minnesota for Biden.

[Storr]

NBC calls Florida for Trump.

As does CNN. (Coincidence, I'm sure. lol)

[Storr]

So how are we currently feeling about:

MI? Likely Biden

WI? Likely Biden

PA? TOSSUP

And that’s enough to win with AZ and NE-02 let alone GA.

Reaching 270 (AZ,MI,WI,NE-2 + Clinton states = 270) even with possible litigation would be a relief.  

[Storr]

He deleted the one where he said Poles I guess because it's gone now and it's spelled correctly with what's on his twitter now.

what a snowflake!

[Storr]

With NE-2 as a Biden win (as it very likely is), his odds have risen to 94%.

At least Fivey Fox is staying up with us....

[Storr]

NBC reporting their models show a 2% Biden win in WI once the early vote is in.

Yikes. That's really close, and doesn't bode well for PA.

He can reach 270 without PA with Clinton + AZ, MI, WI, and NE-02.

[Storr]

CNN says only 16% of the 64% in is early vote and they expect early vote in PA to be around 45%, definitely good for Biden

[Storr]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1323868433059057666?s=20

Collins under 50%...could get interesting with RCV involved.

[Storr]

CNN finally calls Rhode Island....took long enough!

[Storr]

Clark NV

Biden 388772 (54.41%)
Trump 314646 (44.04%)
Total 714520

Biden statewide lead about 50k in NV right now I believe

Very welcome news.

[Storr]

CNN projects NE-2 for Joe!

[Storr]

What is the current thinking on Nevada?  I have always worried about this state but people told me to shut up because it won't be close.  Now I'm worried again.

https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=9054

[Storr]

Georgia is probably going to happen for Biden, but Wisconsin is looking rough.  

Only 41% of Milwaukee is in. Rurals look to be mostly in.

[Storr]

I wonder what will come of Puerto Rican statehood if Trump wins. Most people here assumed they would be admitted under a Biden administration.

He's said several times he's against it.

[Storr]

https://twitter.com/philipaklein/status/1323878083716435968

How much vote are we looking at out of Wisconsin?

41% of Milwaukee is in, and in 2012 Obama's (the last time a national Democrat won the state) margin there was 177,514. So hopefully >100k.

[Storr]

If Ossoff holds Perdue under 50% then it will be a run-off. That means 2 Georgia Special elections that could determine the Senate in the first week of January.

Maybe (hopefully) two runoffs could motivate Democrats to show up in January.

[Storr]

Trump speaking now...

[Storr]

"This is a fraud on the American public." - Donald Trump

[Storr]

https://www.tmj4.com/electionblog

Latest updates:

1:22 p.m. -- Milwaukee ballots just shy of 2016 total

Milwaukee had 78,160 voters at the polls on Election Day. Including absentee votes which have yet to be fully counted, Milwaukee had 247,501 votes in this election. That’s a few hundred shy of the 2016 turnout: 247,836, Ben Jordan reports.

MILWAUKEE COUNTY HAD LESS VOTES THAN 2016

So this is just some guy's blog?

[Storr]

If Georgia goes to Biden, then WI gets Biden to 272.

Exactly 270. Biden can win with most combinations of 2 of WI, GA, MI, NC, and PA.

This is assuming AZ goes Biden, right?

[Storr]

If Georgia goes to Biden, then WI gets Biden to 272.

Exactly 270. Biden can win with most combinations of 2 of WI, GA, MI, NC, and PA.

This is assuming AZ goes Biden, right?

Az was already called for Biden

By Fox News, only (afaik).