2021 LA-02 Special Election Runoff (4/24/2021) Megathread (user search)
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  2021 LA-02 Special Election Runoff (4/24/2021) Megathread (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Who will win the runoff?
#1
Troy Carter
 
#2
Karen Carter Peterson
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 36

Author Topic: 2021 LA-02 Special Election Runoff (4/24/2021) Megathread  (Read 4110 times)
Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,203
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« on: March 21, 2021, 12:47:18 AM »

May the best Carter win
Logged
Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,203
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: April 22, 2021, 02:29:27 PM »

In New Orleans County, far more women have voted early than men.

Not sure if this helps Peterson or not.

Probably no effect.

For whatever reasons woman are generally more likely to vote then men, so it’s probably a wash
Logged
Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,203
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #2 on: April 23, 2021, 04:07:01 PM »

In New Orleans County, far more women have voted early than men.

Not sure if this helps Peterson or not.

Probably no effect.

For whatever reasons woman are generally more likely to vote then men, so it’s probably a wash

In the south this is unfortunately because more AA men are likely to have lost their voting rights to (frequently unjust) incarceration than women, which slants the electorates demographics.

I wasn’t just referring to AA communities, but yea Jim Crow voting laws effect men more then women
Logged
Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,203
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #3 on: April 24, 2021, 07:11:20 PM »

Polls closing in under an hour
Logged
Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,203
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #4 on: April 24, 2021, 08:05:39 PM »

With less than 1/10 of a percent in Carter is winning 2 to 1
Logged
Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,203
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #5 on: April 24, 2021, 08:21:58 PM »

The race is gonna be won and lost in Jefferson and Orleans, both of which are still outstanding
Logged
Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,203
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #6 on: April 24, 2021, 08:52:52 PM »

Interesting that black voters up in missouri helped cori bush pull off the huge upset

but down in nola region, black voters seem to much more split.

Black voters aren’t a monolith. Bush’s districts and the 2nd are incredibly different, with the later being much more rural
Logged
Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,203
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #7 on: April 24, 2021, 11:28:53 PM »

The final is looking to be around 55-45, so he could be vulnerable to a primary in the fall next year
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