2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 631634 times)
SPQR
italian-boy
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Posts: 1,705
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Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« on: November 03, 2020, 06:27:18 PM »
Those are some pretty damn good numbers for Biden in Trump territory.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 07:09:08 PM »
Those are great raw numbers in Pinellas.
10K more votes than Clinton at 75%.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2020, 07:17:25 PM »
Trump up 150K votes in Miami-Dade with 84% in...
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 07:20:44 PM »
Quote from: Storr on November 03, 2020, 07:19:11 PM
Up 150k votes from 2016, he's not winning by 150k.
Indeed.
Which is still very worrying.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2020, 07:22:40 PM »
Glorious results for Biden in Duval County.
54-45 with 75% in (47-49 in 2016)
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 07:36:49 PM »
Pinellas is tightening, Biden +2 now.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2020, 07:44:00 PM »
Pinellas keeps on tightening, less than a point.
The margins in the rest of Florida seem just too thin for Biden.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2020, 07:48:23 PM »
Trump now with higher % than 2016 in Orlando and Tampa.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2020, 08:01:24 PM »
Broward County may well end up with a tighter vote margin than 2016.
Bad bad signs.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2020, 08:51:01 PM »
Starr County, border county in Texas:
2016: 9,289 Clinton 2,224 Trump
2020 (92%): 7,636 Biden 6,515 Trump

What the hell...?
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2020, 09:21:40 PM »
Miami Dade is 53.3-46 with 95% in
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2020, 09:34:20 PM »
Any clues on what to expect from the remaining votes in NC?
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2020, 09:36:59 PM »
Quote from: (CT) The Free North on November 03, 2020, 09:35:57 PM
North Carolina is down to 50k on DDHQ. Tillis down 20k, he'll win, I think Trump will too. Not a lot of vote left, but its been overwhelmingly Trump.
Still some urban votes left, no idea whether they're enough to offset the rural ones.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2020, 09:39:51 PM »
CNN claims 90% is early votes in NC, they expect it to be 75% in the end.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2020, 09:57:07 PM »
Johnston County almost all counted in NC, not too bad for Biden
2020: 36,3K - 54,9K
2016: 28,3K - 54,3K
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #15 on: November 04, 2020, 05:26:36 AM »
Ugly numbers in Clark County.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #16 on: November 04, 2020, 06:15:47 AM »
I went to bed right after Trump's speech.
Had nightmares.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #17 on: November 04, 2020, 06:19:39 AM »
What are the numbers in NE-2 and ME-2?
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #18 on: November 04, 2020, 06:31:16 AM »
From what the Philly City Commissioner is saying on CNN, I am starting to get slightly worried about both the city and the State.

Also, the city is now 350,000 - 105,000 with around 56%in
2016: 584,000 - 108,000
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #19 on: November 04, 2020, 06:35:35 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 04, 2020, 06:32:40 AM
Quote from: SPQR on November 04, 2020, 06:31:16 AM
From what the Philly City Commissioner is saying on CNN, I am starting to get slightly worried about both the city and the State.

Also, the city is now 350,000 - 105,000 with around 56%in
2016: 584,000 - 108,000

Right. That's about 455K counted now. Say it's exact turnout like 2016, that would be about 700K. That's still 250K more votes, and they most definitely lean Biden hard. The 65K batch last hour was Biden 94-6.

That's a 200K net gain.
He's down by 600K in PA.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #20 on: November 04, 2020, 07:09:56 AM »
As it is, Iowa is Trump +7 #Selzer
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #21 on: November 04, 2020, 07:19:46 AM »
Quote from: Fmr. Gov. NickG on November 04, 2020, 07:17:46 AM
Biden might actually win Michigan by 5 points.
Decent-ish.
Wisconsin would remain very underwhelming, though.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #22 on: November 04, 2020, 01:07:27 PM »
Arizona better count those Maricopa votes quickly.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #23 on: November 04, 2020, 01:42:39 PM »
Quote from: VBNMWEB on November 04, 2020, 01:40:08 PM
Why is nobody talking about Arizona?
Arizona is where all the focus should be.
Biden wins Arizona, he's won it all.
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SPQR
italian-boy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
« Reply #24 on: November 04, 2020, 01:45:44 PM »
Quote from: BudgieForce on November 04, 2020, 01:43:33 PM
Quote from: VBNMWEB on November 04, 2020, 01:40:08 PM
Why is nobody talking about Arizona?

Theres not much to talk about. There are anywhere between 400,000 to 500,000 votes. Most of the in person vote was counted so the remainder is early vote. A large chunk of that early vote is "late early vote", or ballots dropped off on election day. We don't know how those ballots will go. Arizona will update its results at 9pm eastern.

Assuming there's 450K votes left, Trump would need to win 60% or more.
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