LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term

[Zaybay]

Is it just me or does the outstanding vote almost exclusively come out of the big cities?

No, its not just you, thats the case currently.

[Zaybay]

Remember when posters were saying a few months back that a Dem triple sweep this year was more likely than an R sweep? LOL

I do believe that almost everyone believed that this race was going to a runoff, so that fact isnt really surprising. The percentage is what most are looking at.

[Zaybay]

A bunch of East Baton Rough votes came in ... Did not help Edwards as much as I thought it would

Mostly the GOP side of the city. Note whats still out, and how it relates to the urban core, or the  more southern university precincts.

 

Would you call it JBE vs Rispone yet or can this still end tonight?

JBE north of 47% I say is certain. Probably won't crack 49%. DDHQ has called it as a runoff. Which honestly is good for him since he is beating his polling.

How strong implications does JBE north of 47% have for the runoff?

Thats for you to decide. Some will scream "R Pickup" now because Dems didn't get 50%, others will note that the  polls which gave Edwards 47% gave him a overall majority in a runoff.

He didn’t clear 50 in too many of those runoff polls against Rispone. Only had him at 48 or 49, which is a dangerous place to be for a purportedly popular incumbent Democrat  in the south.

I’m calling it Lean R.

Pretty sure he cleared almost all of the runoff polls that have been done against Rispone.