NYT LIVE POLL THREAD: (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 01, 2024, 07:48:29 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  NYT LIVE POLL THREAD: (search mode)
Pages: [1] 2
Poll
Question: How would you rate the NYT/Siena House polls methodology
#1
A: Freedom Methodology		  
#2
B		  
#3
C		  
#4
D		  
#5
F: Horrible Methodology		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 139

Author Topic: NYT LIVE POLL THREAD:  (Read 138335 times)
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« on: September 07, 2018, 04:14:38 PM »
As of typing:

MN-08: TIED (77 respondents)

KY-06: Barr +2 (164 respondents)
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #1 on: September 07, 2018, 04:41:38 PM »
Update:

MN-08: R+3 (83 respondents)

KY-06: R+3 (166 respondents)
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #2 on: September 07, 2018, 04:58:48 PM »
MN-03 has been added to the list of polled districts. Results expected to begin around 7 PM EST
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #3 on: September 07, 2018, 07:14:34 PM »
Time for MN-03 poll is now at 9 PM EST.
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #4 on: September 07, 2018, 07:53:49 PM »
Quote from: Cruz Will Win 👁 on September 07, 2018, 07:44:21 PM
The MN-03 poll has begun. 4 calls, 0 responses so far Cheesy
Up to 15 now with no responses!
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #5 on: September 07, 2018, 08:03:06 PM »
First respondent is a white 65+ year old woman who will vote Paulsen.
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #6 on: September 07, 2018, 08:50:05 PM »
« Edited: September 07, 2018, 08:54:48 PM by Predictor »
13 respondents now. 9 Democrats and 3 Republicans plus 1 undecided.
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #7 on: September 07, 2018, 10:33:54 PM »
« Edited: September 07, 2018, 10:37:50 PM by Predictor »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 07, 2018, 10:07:34 PM
Interesting that they stopped polling KY-06 so close to getting 500 responses. Since they've targeted the Midwest quite a bit so far, I wonder if the next district that they're going to poll will be somewhere in the South, or maybe a Northeastern district like NY-19 or NY-22.
I'd really rather see some KS-02/KS-03 polls to be honest. Much more interesting races.

Also with 94 respondents as of right now, Paulsen is +8.
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #8 on: September 07, 2018, 11:07:21 PM »
Seems like they're done with MN-03 for a little bit. Paulsen is currently +12 with 102 polled.
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #9 on: September 08, 2018, 02:25:07 PM »
Some districts I hope they poll next:
  • AZ-02
  • CO-03
  • CO-06
  • MI-11
  • MN-01
  • MN-02
  • MN-07
  • WV-03
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #10 on: September 08, 2018, 06:08:03 PM »
First call for WV-03 made....






no response.
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #11 on: September 08, 2018, 06:18:06 PM »
Shame these polls aren't getting a higher response rate.

First respondent for WV-03 is 100% TITANIUM GOP MILLER
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #12 on: September 08, 2018, 06:20:53 PM »
RIP BLUE WAVE. ALL 3 VOTERS ARE STRONG GOP.

(Carol Miller will obviously win because of the sympathy vote due to the loss of her distant cousin Mac Miller)
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #13 on: September 08, 2018, 06:27:56 PM »
SECOND DEMOCRAT INBOUND. One of them approves of Trump.
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #14 on: September 08, 2018, 06:32:35 PM »
RIP GOP
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #15 on: September 08, 2018, 06:46:54 PM »
#9 is Undecided.
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #16 on: September 08, 2018, 07:40:40 PM »
WV-03 still as Titanium Safe GOP as ever
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #17 on: September 08, 2018, 07:42:29 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on September 08, 2018, 07:41:37 PM
Quote from: Predictor on September 08, 2018, 07:40:40 PM
WV-03 still as Titanium Safe GOP as ever

You better just be playing along with the rest of us.

Politics ain't no game 😎
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #18 on: September 08, 2018, 07:48:23 PM »

Atari 2600 E.T.
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #19 on: September 09, 2018, 02:15:17 PM »
VA-07 is nice but what about VA-10? I'd much rather see that.
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #20 on: September 09, 2018, 06:26:15 PM »
Quote from: OkThen on September 09, 2018, 06:21:12 PM
Wow, so all five races they finished ended up within 1 point? So simply confirming that these toss-ups are all... toss-ups.

MN-03 looking to break that streak.
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #21 on: September 10, 2018, 12:05:05 PM »
I'm gonna guess that VA-05 or VA-02 will be the next polled district.
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #22 on: September 10, 2018, 12:27:59 PM »
And the next district is TX-23
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #23 on: September 10, 2018, 04:16:22 PM »
2 undecideds, one Ortiz Jones, and one Hurd now. This is gonna be a wild ride.
Logged
Predictor
TWRAddict
Rookie
**
Posts: 159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.96
« Reply #24 on: September 10, 2018, 06:53:21 PM »
Quote from: Cruz Will Win 👁 on September 10, 2018, 06:17:44 PM
Don't look now, but Ojeda is catching up again in WV-03.

Only down by 2 points now, 45-43. LOL at those who were writing him off based on an incomplete poll within the MOE.

Last time I checked, with 420 respondents, Miller was still ahead by 6.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.048 seconds with 12 queries.