AZ-SEN 2024: Away we Gallego (3/5 - Sinema OUT)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He and Lake are not going for Senate , so this is not gonna be a pickup chance

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

PPP out with a new poll commissioned by Gallego’s team.

3-way:
Lake (R) 41%
Gallego (D) 40%
Sinema (I) 13%
Unsure 6%

2-way
Gallego (D) 48%
Lake (R) 47%

2-day
Lake (R) 42%
Sinema (I) 39%
Unsure 19%

Gallego fav: 35/27 (+8)
Sinema fav: 31/47 (-16) ……. 43/27 among Trump voters & 20/69 among Biden voters

https://mailchi.mp/802647d37bde/new-poll-ruben-gallego-strongest-candidate-for-2024-az-senate-race

Extremely bad news for Sinema given that Indies poll way better than the actual results, and given her name rec, 13% is a high water mark at this point.

Gallego doing better in the 3-way than Sinema does in the 2-way? Beyond over for her.

Lake has said repeadily she is not  interested in being Veep.or Senate and Ducey is out

She said this to Vaughn Hilliard's

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a commuters job from Phoenix to DC just like Harris commutes on weekends from DC to SF

Sandoval is Prez of UNLV Law that's why he doesn't want S either, he can't commute and be Prez at same time

AZ, CA, NV are beautiful places to live some people don't want DC hit with snowstorm like about to happen if your kids are grown you don't need to put them in private DC school

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Of course she voting against the Filibuster reform and allowed RS to take control of the H

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Gallego is gonna make a decision by Jan 24 not Jan 23 we have 50 Ds already minus Manchin whom is probably gonna lose to Justice anyways and Brown and Tester have the same Approvals as Ryan did DeWine pulled Vance thru, Vance and Johnson had 37 percent favs and still won, DeWine and Rubio aren't on the ballot in 24 , OH and FL aren't gonna vote 15 pts to the right of the nation in 24 maybe 5 pts to right of nation if there is no blue wave

Gallego is probably, but won't make a decision by Jan 24 not now, the thread is pointless just like Stephanie Murphy may jump in and users are saying she can't win, she hasn'tt announced yet and neither has Gallego


If you want to check out whom is in it's bolded not Italics on www.politics1.com Gallego and Stanton and Murphy aren't in yet, Gallego is waiting for whom emerges as an R challenge, and for peat sake Lake isnt running for Sen she doesn't want a commuters job she doesn't want to live in snowy DC but live in Sunny Phoenix

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Everything is gonna be decided next yr and it's no need to be anxious on ratings and polls now due to fact the Eday is Nov 24 Rs are so anxious about the S they are in the same predicament in the H no one got wave insurance seats Rs didn't get 240 but got 220
Sabato and Cook haven't put out any ratings

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Anyone else looking forward to pundits rating this one a Toss-up and MT/OH (and maybe even WV in Cook's case) Lean/Likely D in their first forecast and later pretending it never happened?

Also, Sinema taking a little more from Republicans than Democrats/Gallego isn’t that surprising to anyone who has been paying attention. I always found the idea that Sinema performing "well" as a third-party candidate (read: mid- to high single digits) would clearly hurt Democrats/Gallego rather perplexing. To the extent Sinema has any "popularity" left, it’s mostly among more conservative voters and Republican-leaning independents who think she stands up to Schumer etc., more so than among Democratic-leaning moderates or whatever. Mark Kelly just won a very easy reelection without having to resort to Sinema's silly antics, so it’s not like Democrats even "need" a candidate like her. Sinema probably wishes this was a WV-type situation where Democrats were reliant on her running again to hold the seat, but it’s clearly not, and most people not named Kyrsten Sinema actually understand that.

Everything about her past (and esp. her recent time in the Senate) suggests that she’s basically just a narcissist desperate for attention and in need of professional help. People aren’t used to politicians going on suicide missions and catapulting themselves out of office like this, so they automatically assume that said politician's actions must be the result of some well-thought-out plan or genius move when in reality it’s little other than plain insanity.

I don't think I've ever agreed so much with an entire post of yours before lol.

You're extremely right, especially on the WV thing. Sinema seems to be in this alternate reality where she needs to be some Manchin-type politician and AZ is WV and yet... she seems extremely delusional since Mark Kelly blew up everything she was trying to make it seem like it was.

LoL there are no ratings yet we havr two yrs for this he predicted PA, WI, AZ, NV and GA wrong and still thinks PA with Bob Casey is Lean R, a wave doesn't happen two yrs prior to Eday I have Manchin and Sinema losing and Brown and Tester winning and Gallego and Schiff and Matthew Sancramainte winning in a 52/46 PVI

RS think that we have to win the PVI by 10 in order to win red states the GCB is 48/44 D which is 51/47 the same as Obama won WV, MT and OH in 2012 no one wins PVI by 10

We post our opinion it's not fact different PVI for different Eday, Matthew Sancrainte is openly gay and since the Santos controversy Scott whom likes to paint himself macho like Rubio and Desantis can't ignore him any longer

We can't depend on Stephanie Murphy in FL why hasn't she announced anything yet it's not even on politics 1.com that she is running but we know Gallego is running, because RS don't have a candidate Lake and Ducey are out there won't be a third party split with a Blake Masters or Generic R

TX is out backup plan

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Honestly,
I don't want to do some wish talking but I wouldn't be surprised if Sinema self sabotages herself like "oh I didn't get the number of signatures needed!"

It's going to mirror the presidential election I guess

I see you don't believe in blue waves the RS  need AZ, OH, MT, WV,  either VA or WI or PA to crack the blue blue wall they can win but the Trump insurrection is a problem they aren't gonna win 3/5 Senate seats in 3.5 percent unemployment they couldn't win one in 22

Were gonna win AZ with Gallego or Sinema

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

When was the last time a candidate who lost a statewide general election made a successful statewide run immediately the following cycle? Particularly failed gubernatorial candidates?

The RS are counting on split voting and we don't know whats gonna happen with this document scandal

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Why are we so worried about races two yrs prior til Eday we should wait til Jan 24, just like users say oh Biden must be exhonerated because D's say so not what FBI says because it's not comparable to Trump Larry Craig committed a Misdemeanor and Hillary Clinton it's called gross negligence and Trump committed a felony

We just have to wait for the FBI on Biden and wait til Gallego jumps in and Feinstein retires, users are so in a rush and the economy still sux rents are 900 instead of 500 and 4 not 2 for gas and Student loan payments will resume in Aug, D's are better than Rs but both parties are corrupted

Cam there be a red wave yes but are the D's still fav yes but RS control the H not D's they have the bully pulpit now, whomever controls the H controls the bully pulpit and Biden blew it on these documents scandal the billy pulpit to Rs

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

So after mnths he announced

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Doing whatever I can to help Gallego. Terrified that Sinema will siphon off too many votes for give Lake (or some other nut) a plurality win.

LoL it's 2 yrs toll Eday we don't have to start donating till Jan to June of 24 don't waste money untill Biden is exhonerated on the Documents not saying he is gonna lose but I donated to Strickland, Ryan, Bullock, Boiler and Joe Kennedy the yr prior and they all lost, because I donated to Bernie a yr prior till Eday

I will donate to Gallego but not now , we have to wait for FBI the one that exhonerated Hillary not D commentary's

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Curious how much Gallego raised 1st day, has got to be quite a bit.

LoL it's Jan 23 not 24 we have a long way I prematurely donated to Bullock, Joe Kennedy, Strickland and Ryan a yr prior and they all lost, remember Boiler of KS Sen, why because if Biden is on the margin of 50/47 it's very hard to win red states and its likely without an Impeachment a 51/47 Eday a 303 map but with Harris and Gilchrist it's still will be a 51/47 after Impeachment to knock Biden out of nominated, he doesn't have to be convicted, he just have to be impeached, and it's highly likely an impeachment inquiry will happen late this yr

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's 2 yrs till Eday, lol

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sinema is vulnerable because she blocked Voting Rights and Rs won the H Gallego would have stayed in the H if Pelosi was Speaker that's why she changed to Indy to run in GE as soon as RS won the H, but Gallego in a Prez yr is favorite regardless

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Eday is two yrs from now they want you to Donate a yr prior til Eday that's why so many candidate are getting in early because Bernie online fundraiser broke record a yr prior to Eday 2015/2019 but after Ryan lost, we should all be cautious he wanted donations a yr prior and had an early fundraiser lead and he Lost, Strickland did too he Lost I gave both to Strickland and Ryan

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sinema does have some skills. After all she helped pass the same sex marriage protection bill.


However, I can't stand her because she's corrupt and only thinks for herself. See the loophole etc.

She's a narcissist idiot and this kind of persons aren't team players

She is vulnerable because she blocked Voting Rights and Rs took the H had Pelosi stayed as Speaking Ruben would have stayed put in the H

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Polls this far out are meaningless for 24 why are people so concerned over polls it's Feb 23

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lmao, Lake doing better than Ducey? Not sure if that means the poll is trash or if it means the AZ GOP is speedrunning the Colorado-ification of the state.

LoL it's 2 yrs till Eday with no ads

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No wonder she was so against the Filibuster repeal she is Tulsi Gabby 2.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not a lousy Senate unlike in 22 Biden name will be on the ballot Trump overperform in 20 pre insurrection and he gave out stimulus checks

Ryan, Barnes, Beasley and D's ran away from Biden but I'm 24 Kunce, Tester and Brown all will have Biden on the Ticket we are contesting MO and long shots in TX and FL because Justice may force Manchin to retire

Cooper won in red NC in 20 with Biden eventhough Biden lost the state Cooper won by 4 and Biden lost NC by 1.1

A wave doesn't happen overnight like in 2008 we were supposed to win only CO, VA, NM, the seats of AK, MN, OR, GA, and NC came later just like AZ and MT are Lean D OH and MO and TX can come later

There are 65M in poverty it's not a middle class world the wave comes not from rich people but poor people whom are the last to turnout to vote that's how a wave develops

All WC rural voters aren't RS some are gonna vote for Kunce and Brown just like Presley, Beshear and Wilson can win them it's a myth that all WC rural votes are R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sinema hasn't declared it she is running or not stop worrying about an Eday 2 yrs from now Gallego had the advantage monetary and everything he is getting so much donations some people are anxious over an Eday that is so far away

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Gallego is advantaged look at the polls, Sinema needs to drop out

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's over already 24 Trump is gonna get indicted even if DeSantis is the nominee he is still losing to Biden he just hasn't been scrutinized that's why I went ahead and madeu endorsement of Biden and Harris in 24 and we will break the Filibuster MO, OH, MT, FL, TX and WV as wave insurance it's a 303 map with wave insurance

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am only donating to Kunce even for Biden until next yr 24 she will be taken off once the primary is over


John Love and Rod Joseph are the only ones and Kunce that have donation on their page but Bernie endorsed Boswell and the primary in FL in 24 but Zachary Manning is in but not officially in TX and blk candidates will emerge from both Boswell and John Love, because of Dallas

Some think Latina females are gonna emerge and Cruz and Scott are gonna win easily Nope just like with OH Brown is fav even if he is down he and Tester and Manchin are down only 5

It's gonna be Boswell or Joseph or John Love or Zachary Manning

Matthew Sancrainte would be fav but he is LGBT in FL he was the first to announce then Boswell got in