How badly does the upcoming midterms look for democrats compared to past midterms (user search)
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  How badly does the upcoming midterms look for democrats compared to past midterms (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Worst midterm outlook for incumbent party 10 months out
#1
Democrats in January 1994
 
#2
Republicans in January 2006
 
#3
Democrats in January 2010
 
#4
Democrats in January 2014
 
#5
Republicans in January 2018
 
#6
Democrats in January 2022
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 51

Author Topic: How badly does the upcoming midterms look for democrats compared to past midterms  (Read 1172 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,278
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: January 25, 2022, 06:52:47 AM »

Prez Approvals don't matter that much in Midterms and Rs aren't winning 50 seats like in 2010 we had 255 D's way more D's in red districts than we do now with 223/215


It's still early polls in Jan don't mean much until Aug, every wave began in Aug not Jan we won 40 seats in Oct in 2018, and it's not R plus 13 on GCB it's D's plus 1
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,278
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: January 27, 2022, 01:04:10 AM »

All the other waves Democrats suffered broke late, or at least became obvious late. 2022 is pretty similar to how the 2018 cycle went. 2018 looked like a wave even earlier though, but the odds of losing the House were about the same because Democrats started 19 seats lower. The actual result will look most like 2006 or 1994 because both houses will flip in one election.


Ehh Id say 2018 started looking like a Dem Wave around the same time 2022 stated looking like a GOP wave and that was with the Virginia election's .

Keep in mind Osoff underperformed Hillary in the GA-6 special


Lol D's are the Underdogs in the H and D's are the Favs in the Senate Trump kept the Senate and in Jan he was 39/47 and he had Kavanaugh just like Biden has KENTAJI BROWN, it's possible Biden being under 50 with the 304 blue wall will keep the Senate you guys are trailing in every battleground state except for NV with Laxalt and CCM will be helped by KENTAJI BROWN
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