Biden's Ceiling In TX (user search)
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  Biden's Ceiling In TX (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: What is Biden's ceiling in TX?
#1
Greater than 50%
 
#2
50%
 
#3
49%
 
#4
48%
 
#5
47%
 
#6
46%
 
#7
45%
 
#8
44%
 
#9
43%
 
#10
Lower than 43%
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 84

Author Topic: Biden's Ceiling In TX  (Read 2950 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,713
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: April 12, 2020, 07:32:16 AM »

In this environment,  Biden definitely can win TX
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,713
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: April 12, 2020, 11:45:14 AM »

In this environment, when Trump is down 6 to 10 pts again, TX can flip. During ST primaries when Biden was winning TX, Trump was again down to Biden in TX
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,713
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: April 12, 2020, 12:08:17 PM »

High 40ish, he could get close like Beto did, but just doesn't have the votes to win it

MSN polls have Biden ahead of Trump in TX, don't underestimate the Latino vote that loved Obama and Biden policies and voted to reelect them in 2012
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,713
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: April 12, 2020, 12:28:22 PM »

Biden won’t do better than Beto, who got more votes than Hillary Clinton in a midterm environment.  There won’t be a groundswell because there’s no more room for Dems to grow in states like TX, GA and AZ compared to 2016.  

MSN polls have shown Biden leading in TX, GA and AZ, contrary to what Rs think, due to coronavirus affecting disproportionately Latinos and Blacks in TX, AZ and GA in those states; consequently,  Biden doesnt have to win majority white vote. Bush W had to crack 30 percent to get reelected and Trump only cracks 10 percent of minority vote. That's why Ds can grow
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