If Biden wins in 2020, how will 2022 midterms look like?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

OH, WI looks winnable, any Dem can win in WI in an open seat and Tim Ryan will get full backing from Biden to challenge Portman.

Toomey, Burr, Hassan and Kelly will face competetive,  but will easily win

D+2

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

OH, WI looks winnable, any Dem can win in WI in an open seat and Tim Ryan will get full backing from Biden to challenge Portman.

Toomey, Burr, Hassan and Kelly will face competetive,  but will easily win

D+2

PLEASE STO TREATING TIM RYAN LIKE THIS BELOVED POLITICIAN IN OH! If he runs, I gurentee you he'll lose to Portman in 2022, it wont be close.

Not If Biden's approvals are 53 percent

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden has to win first, which isnt guaranteed and Toomey and Johnson's seat is gonna go Dem, Walker and Paul Ryan isnt in WI anymore. Toomey only won due to McGinty, if he faced Sestak, he would have lost.

The GOP knows this, that's why they keep making threads that Dems are doomed in 2022, which Dems arent

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden has to win first, then we can talk about 2022. But, as long as Biden doesn't have an approval rating under 45 percent,  like most midterm Prez, then he avoids the bad midterms.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Mike McCarthy has proven that he isnt as a take charge Leader as Boehner and Gingrich were, and later Speaker Paul Ryan. Alot of voters dont know whom he is, compared to Gingrich, Boehner and Ryan, whom have been on Meet the Press as minority leaders, but Leader McCarthy stayes on Fox News and avoids Meet the Press.

That's why so many Rs have retired, due to McCarthy's leadership

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I know what the Rs are trying to do here, if the economy doesnt recovers by 2022, then they want to blame Biden. Dems have learned from 2010, Dems kept the filibuster and allowed R obstruction,  that wont happen again and popular programs will pass, that were obstructed last time

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

AZ, NC, PA and WI are in play

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I'm saying 2018-ish. So a largely static result in the Senate because the Republicans are kind of maxed out, but a bad year for the Dems in the House.

McCarthy isnt Boehner and he is soft spoken,  everyone keeps saying Dems are gonna lose the House and McCarthy doesnt even galvanize voters like Boehner or Ryan does. Dems will hold the House

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Not good for Dems. The GOP regains the house and Kelly and Hassan will lose their Senate seats to Ducey and Sununu.

Lmao funny man

Many R pollsters like MT Treasurer have disappeared since Trump polls have cratered. He has disappeared before, but Rs arent talking about an R wave anymore, like they were boldly predicting before the Pandemic.  Who cares about 2022, once Dems take back the 3 branches, Dem agenda will be boldly passed

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

McCarthy would be the worst Speaker in history like Boehner,  the only thing they want to do is cut Obamacare and entitlements. The Biden machine will be much tougher than Obama was on keeping the House.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Going off recent history, GOP probably retakes the house. It’s unclear whether they win back some of the suburban areas they lost in 2018. Also unclear how redistricting will change things, although I fully expect Toilet Man to do a North Carolina-level gerrymander in Illinois, so I doubt the party adds seats there regardless despite the party’s improvement in the northwestern part of the state.

Because the GOP is overextended in this Senate class, they’ll be playing some defense unless Biden’s approval is mid-thirties or below, obviously extremely unlikely, but I do expect them to attack the targets they do have (New Hampshire plus whatever special elections might come up) harder than normal due to the limited nature of opportunities to play offense that year, the same way Democrats went hard after Cocaine Mitch and the open seat in Georgia in 2014.

IL is gonna lose a seat from 18 to 17, it's likely an R next to their name will become residistricted out.  John Shimkus in District 15 is retiring anyways and the R that replaces him will be restricted put by JB Pritzker 🤩🤩🤩

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems didn't have control of redistricting in 2010, that's why the Rs gained seats, this is the first time since 1990 Dems will have control of redistricting

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

They're going to do this anyway.

I personally believe that 2020 is going to be a Republican year in the end (Trump wins, GOP takes the House), but that's only because I view Biden as a weak candidate whose liabilities are unfolding progressively.  Biden could well win, and the Democrats could well hold on in the House. 

Bernie would have generated more enthusiasm,  but we are in recovery now, from the Recession. Ds can very well  keep the House and tie the Senate, due to Kelly, Hickenlooper,  Bullick and Bollier as better candidates than McSally, Gardner, Daines, Marshall and Kobach.

Anyways Ds win AZ, NH, PA, and WI, net 2