SC Megathread 2020: Graham Crackers, Cunning-Ham Sandwiches and Duncan Donuts

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Mark Welch (D-SC03) has a website up now.


https://www.markdwelch.com/


Obviously the seat is safe Duncan but its my district ok

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Jeff Duncan introduced H.B. 6969, his 2nd bill this year.

The "TELL Act" says it "require(s) that any person that maintains an Internet website or that sells or distributes a mobile application that maintains and stores information collected from such website or application in China to disclose that such information is stored and maintained in China and whether the Chinese Communist Party or a Chinese state-owned entity has access to such information."

not a horrible bill I guess so that's an improvement for him.

Read the bill here: https://jeffduncan.house.gov/sites/jeffduncan.house.gov/files/documents/2020.05.14%20-%20Duncan%20-%20TELL%20Act.pdf

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Joe Cunningham releases new ad where his opponents praise him:

https://twitter.com/JoeCunninghamSC/status/1265750159989841926?s=20

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Joe Cunningham releases new ad where his opponents praise him:

https://twitter.com/JoeCunninghamSC/status/1265750159989841926?s=20

Oh man, that ending is AWESOME

IDK the original but the thing's a template

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Have you decided to stay in by the way?

Yes. while write ins aren't allowed in the primary, I will continue to the general. I'm voting for Welch in the primary (the other guy, Cleveland, is very moderate afaik) but my goal is to get 3rd place since there's no other party running a candidate. The American Party had a candidate last time but not this time last time I checked.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

The other D running, Hosea Cleveland (who was the D nominee in 2016, and has run for several offices since the 90's iirc) has a twitter account and his style seems olawakandi-esque.

https://twitter.com/ClevelandHosea/status/1267451115139981319?s=20

https://twitter.com/ClevelandHosea/status/1266570595849965575?s=20

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Btw my own personal prediction for the SC-3 dem primary is that Welch wins something like 60-40. Cleveland was stomped in the 2018 primary and I don’t see this being different.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

This was basically an open secret and constant joke for years now. Doesn’t surprise me.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

I didn't end up voting considering there was no really competitive races around here.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

and we have our matchup:

Cleveland v. Duncan v. WB

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

At this point I think I'm just gonna drop out. It's a vanity run at this point and has been ever since I found out write-ins weren't allowed in the primary.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Map of the SC-03 Dem primary by precinct.

Interactive Map


Hosea Cleveland
Mark Welch
Tie

I might make one for SC-01 R. Nancy Mace won by a little over 57%.

Also, Graham won his primary by a smaller margin than I expected. He even got below 50% in Greenville and Spartanburg counties.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

As promised, the SC-01 R primary:

Interactive Map



State Rep. Nancy Mace: 57.5%
Mount Pleasant Councilwoman Kathy Landing: 25.9%
Bikers for Trump Founder Chris Cox: 9.7%
Bluffton Housing Official Brad Mole: 6.9%

Interesting notes:
-Despite being in 2nd, Landing only won 1 precinct in her home city. The rest were in Beaufort.

-The precinct that Mole won had Mace all the way in 3rd place, behind Mole and Landing. Mole also came in 3rd in his home county of Beaufort, narrowly ahead of Cox, despite the fact that all Cox-won precincts were in Beaufort.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

After much contemplation I've decided to exit the SC03 race. To continue further would just be a vanity run and create a mockery of the democratic process. We need a united opposition to @RepJeffDuncan.

I thank everyone who supported me through this campaign. Each and every one of you has bolstered my hopes for the people of this district.

and don't worry, I'll still be here, dunkin' on Duncan.

Thank you all.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

https://twitter.com/AdamNewshound12/status/1271535415091245063?s=20

Jeff Duncan: aNtiFa

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

After much contemplation I've decided to exit the SC03 race. To continue further would just be a vanity run and create a mockery of the democratic process. We need a united opposition to @RepJeffDuncan.

I thank everyone who supported me through this campaign. Each and every one of you has bolstered my hopes for the people of this district.

and don't worry, I'll still be here, dunkin' on Duncan.

Thank you all.

Top 10 anime betrayals

look I'm not even gonna be living in the district by the time the election happens, it doesn't make sense to continue on some dumbass writein campaign. The whole reason I started it was because Duncan had no challengers at the time (Mid-February), I almost dropped out when someone finally declared.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Duncan says he'll put up Orr's picture in his office

https://twitter.com/RepJeffDuncan/status/1274069564331102208?s=20

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Nancy Mace tests positive for COVID, meaning both candidates have or have had it

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Jeff Duncan focuses on the REAL priorities facing our country...

https://twitter.com/RepJeffDuncan/status/1281961297547010048?s=20

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

I’ve been noticing a lot of ads by Harrison’s team attacking Graham from the right, with Carlson and Gorka saying he isn’t doing anything. Actually a good strategy. Lots of Rs voted for a hard-right challenger. If Harrison can persuade them to not vote at all, then he actually has a chance. I don’t see it happen though

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

I'm moving this from Likely to Lean R.

It's EXTREMELY important to note that the Constitution Party has a candidate (Bill Bledsoe, the Libertarian nominee in 2016 who got nearly 2% of the vote). If Harrison continues to peel away those who think Graham is a RINO, they'd go to Bledsoe. If it was just Graham and Harrison, I think they'd hold their nose for Graham.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Does anyone know how James Smith did in each Congressional District?

Someone I know says internal polling they’ve done in SC-02 has Jaime way ahead and I want to compare from 2018.

DRA has the data for each dist:
01: 52.0-47.8 McMaster
02: 54.1-45.8 McMaster
03: 66.5-33.3 McMaster
04: 58.7-41.1 McMaster
05: 56.9-43.0 McMaster
06: 70.0-29.9 Smith
07: 57.2-42.7 McMaster

Statewide: 54.0-45.9 McMaster

02 seems to be a good indicator of the state as a whole, if not a little to the right of it. It was 62.9-34.2 for 2016 Sen (Statewide: 60.6-36.9) and 56.4-38.5 in 2016 Pres (Statewide: 54.9-40.7)

If Harrison is ahead there, it's over, especially with trends in the GSP area. I'm still not holding my breath though.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

maybe we can have suburban #resistance moms donate their money to Harrison instead of McGrath since Harrison has like, a 5% chance compared to her 0.05% chance?

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

I am very hopeful now that Harrison wins. I still would only give it a high single digit percent chance of happening, but Harrison's campaign has been EXTREMELY smart.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

https://twitter.com/RepJeffDuncan/status/1308865119619817473?s=20

They aren't being subtle.