The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Tender Branson]

Virginia (Rasmussen)

49% Approve
50% Disapprove

This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 16, 2009. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2009/virginia/toplines/toplines_virginia_governor_election_september_16_2009

[Tender Branson]

Here's why that poll does not count:

9* Generally speaking, do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the health care reform plan proposed by President Obama and the congressional Democrats?

34% Strongly favor

12% Somewhat favor

6% Somewhat oppose

45% Strongly oppose

3% Not sure

The question is excessively specific on one issue and to broad in  responsibility (it includes Congress). It does not ask either for general approval or general favorability of the President.

 As such it is disqualified for my map.

Most recent poll,

LOL.

What about question 1:

"How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?"

[Tender Branson]

FOX News:

54% Approve
39% Disapprove

Polling was conducted by telephone September 15-16, 2009, in the evenings. The total sample is 900 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of ±3 percentage points. Results are of registered voters, unless otherwise noted.

http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/091709_poll.pdf

[Tender Branson]

Obama got 58% in ME. It is hardly one of the "most liberal" states in the country(also evidenced by their opposition to same-sex marriage in the same poll). To think he is 10 points above what he got in 08 is just absurd.

Now you are mixing up an election with favorables ...

Maybe Mainers just like the person Barack Obama, what they think about his job is a completely different story ...

[Tender Branson]

Virginia (Washington Post):

53% Approve
47% Disapprove

Iowa (Des Moines Register):

53% Approve
41% Disapprove

[Tender Branson]

TX and MN approvals to be released later today.

[Tender Branson]

Looks like RAS didn't include a presidential approval in his Franken poll. Weird.

Yeah that's odd. I was expecting one.

[Tender Branson]

Btw, why did they use an "approval ratings-scale" for Pawlenty but an "excellent/good/fair/poor-scale" for Franken and Klobuchar, that is clearly showing lower numbers for the 2 Dems than approval ratings would ? Maybe Franken would even have POSITIVE approvals ? Yeah, because Rasmussen is a right-wing HACK institute !

[Tender Branson]

Arizona is a 47-47 tie; Minnesota's 55% rounds up (I rounded up Texas, so don't quibble).

Colorado, Missouri, Montana, and Nevada should be interesting.  Come in Indiana and NE-02, too!

Please stop rounding polls up and down. MN's 55% cannot be rounded up to 60%, because it's 55%-45% and there's a 4% MoE.

BTW: Nobody seems to polls IN, a really interesting state that has not been polled for 1 year. I have written to PPP to include it in their user choice, but they have never done so ...

[Tender Branson]

New Maryland poll (Yeehaw !) about Obama to be released tomorrow.

Here's the first part of it:

http://wbal.com/apps/news/articlefiles/36023-Maryland%20Media%20Poll%20Part%201%20September%202009.doc

Good to see a popular Democratic Governor once in a while ...

[Tender Branson]

LOL @ WI being blue. Obama would kill off any of those current joke Republicans (Huck, Romney, Palin) there. Pawlenty would have a better time there, but would still lose by 5%+

[Tender Branson]

Maryland (Gonzales Research)

60% Favorable
27% Unfavorable

58% Approve
31% Disapprove

This survey was conducted by Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies from September 8 through September 17, 2009.  A total of 833 registered voters in Maryland were interviewed by telephone. A cross-section of interviews was conducted in each jurisdiction within the state to reflect general election voting patterns. The margin of error (MOE), according to customary statistical standards, is no more than plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

http://www.scribd.com/doc/20085013/Maryland-Media-Poll-Part-Two-September-2009

[Tender Branson]

Georgia (Strategic Vision)

35% Approve
58% Disapprove

The results are based on telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in Georgia, aged 18+, and conducted September 18-20, 2009 by telephone. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/georgia_poll_092309.htm

New York (Siena Research Institute)

65% Favorable
31% Unfavorable

This SRI survey was conducted September 13-17, 2009 by telephone calls to 792 New York State registered voters. It has a margin of error of + 3.5 percentage points. Data was statistically adjusted by age, gender, party and geography to ensure representativeness. Sampling was conducted via random digit dialing weighted to reflect known population patterns.

http://www.siena.edu/pages/1167.asp

[Tender Branson]

New Jersey (Rasmussen)

53% Approve
47% Disapprove

This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in New Jersey was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 21, 2009. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2009/new_jersey/election_2009_new_jersey_governor

[Tender Branson]

I'm a bit surprised about Missouri. I'd expect it to be much closer than it is.

It's OK I guess, because MO was about 4% more Republican last year than the nation.

If Rasmussen has Obama at 49% or 50% approval, 44% looks fine, because we also have to notice that MO is trending away from the Democratic Presidential Candidate since 5 or 6 elections now.

[Tender Branson]

New RAS stuff from Iowa to be released at 5pm ...

[Tender Branson]

New Jersey (Strategic Vision)

48% Approve
43% Disapprove

The results of a three-day poll in the state of New Jersey. Results are based on telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in New Jersey, aged 18+, and conducted September 18-20, 2009 by telephone. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/newjersey_poll_092409.htm

TX-28 (R2000)

50% Favorable
45% Unfavorable

This survey was conducted by Research 2000 of Rockville, Maryland. A total of 600 likely voters in the Twenty-Eighth Congressional District were interviewed by telephone September 15 through September 17, 2009.

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/9/17/TX/380

[Tender Branson]

CA & NY approvals to be released later today.

[Tender Branson]

New York (Rasmussen)

61% Approve
38% Disapprove

This national telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 22, 2009. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/new_york/new_york_senate_gillibrand_narrowly_leads_pataki

[Tender Branson]

California (Rasmussen)

60% Approve
39% Disapprove

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on September 23, 2009. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/california/toplines/toplines_2010_california_senate_september_23_2009

[Tender Branson]

Colorado (The Tarrance Group (R) for the Colorado Policy Institute)

48% Approve
47% Disapprove

The Tarrance Group is pleased to present the Colorado Policy Institute with the key findings from a survey of voter attitudes in Colorado. These key findings are based on telephone interviews with N=500 “likely” registered voters throughout the State. Responses to this survey were gathered September 16-17, 2009 and the confidence interval associated with a sample of this type is + 4.5%.

http://www.coloradopolicyinstitute.com/Key%20Findings%20CPI%209-21-09.pdf

[Tender Branson]

BUMP !

[Tender Branson]

Minnesota (Star Tribune):

51% Approve
34% Disapprove

http://www.startribune.com/newsgraphics/62267652.html?elr=KArks8c7PaP3E77K_3c::D3aDhUoaEaD_ec7PaP3iUiacyKUUr

Arizona numbers will also be released later today.

[Tender Branson]

Additionally to Arizona today, Arkansas, Delaware, Kentucky, Louisiana and Virginia numbers will be released by Rasmussen this week, mostly Senate and Obama numbers and Virginia Governor numbers.

[Tender Branson]

Arizona (Rocky Mountain Poll/Behavior Research Center)

47% Excellent/Good
53% Fair/Poor

The poll was conducted among 800 Arizonans (629 were registered voters) from Sept. 9-18. The results were released Sept. 28. The poll has a margin of error of 3.5 percent.

http://azcapitoltimes.com/azpolicywonk/2009/09/28/poll-mccain-obama-kyl-have-similar-approval-ratings-in-az/