2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 652434 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #150 on: November 07, 2020, 02:02:34 PM »
Austrian President VdB (Green Party) himself tweeting from the hospital:
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #151 on: November 07, 2020, 05:01:32 PM »
The Cook Political Report results table shows that CT is the 1st state that has already certified its results.

https://cookpolitical.com/2020-national-popular-vote-tracker?

That is not true though:

Their table shows 1.059 million votes for Biden, but the state is still counting votes.

Biden already has 1.070 million votes according to the CT voting site:

https://ctemspublic.pcctg.net/#/home
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #152 on: November 07, 2020, 05:45:46 PM »
Quote from: DabbingSanta on November 07, 2020, 05:41:57 PM
Does anyone have the nationwide county map yet?

There are 8-10 million votes left to count.

Only in mid-December would a map like this make sense.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #153 on: November 08, 2020, 08:03:27 AM »
There was a meme here in Austria, in which the election authorities of NV asked the Austrian supermarket Hofer (Aldi) if they could send 2 cashiers to Nevada to finish vote counting there.

Users speculated that the Austrian supermarket cashiers could finish the vote count in the US in a few minutes.

Yesterday, the supermarket chain had to debunk rumours that US election officials really asked the supermarket for a few of their cashiers ... Tongue
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #154 on: November 09, 2020, 03:48:29 AM »
Did anything important happen during the night ?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #155 on: November 09, 2020, 03:54:28 AM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 09, 2020, 03:52:02 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on November 09, 2020, 03:48:29 AM
Did anything important happen during the night ?

Arizona is confirmed D, for one thing.

RIP your bets I guess, except maybe that one you said you had with OH+FL going R but the election going D.

It looks like it, yeah.

It was still a good night overall with Biden winning and with a significant money gain - even if it's not the 1.200$ in total.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #156 on: November 09, 2020, 03:58:56 AM »
It's pretty sad that a state like PA or GA, who had their deadlines of receiving any ballots on Friday, still don't know how many ballots are left to count ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #157 on: November 10, 2020, 02:07:30 AM »
Any news ?

What happened overnight ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #158 on: November 10, 2020, 11:29:46 AM »
Quote from: ByeDon/Harris on November 10, 2020, 11:28:02 AM
Quote from: emailking on November 10, 2020, 11:21:41 AM




What even is "ballot counting abuse"? Something like "PRESIDENTIAL HARASSMENT"??

Ballot counting abuse is probably something like grabbing a woman by the pussy while counting ballots.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #159 on: November 11, 2020, 02:01:58 AM »
Anything interesting happening overnight ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #160 on: November 11, 2020, 11:33:25 AM »
What does -8.994 votes mean at the bottom of the results table ?

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/national.php?year=2020&minper=0&f=1&off=0&elect=0
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #161 on: November 11, 2020, 01:26:39 PM »
« Edited: December 29, 2020, 01:55:00 PM by Tender Branson »
Electoral Vote tracker, based on official/certified states + DC



51/51:

306 Biden
232 Trump

Quote
November 5th
Delaware

November 6th
New Hampshire

November 10th
Oklahoma
South Dakota
Vermont

November 11th
South Carolina
Wyoming

November 12th
North Dakota

November 17th
Florida

November 18th
Idaho
Mississippi
Virginia

November 19th
Louisiana
Massachusetts

November 20th
Georgia
Kentucky

November 23rd
Alabama
Maine (3 EV Biden, 1 EV Trump)
Michigan
Utah

November 24th
Arkansas
Indiana
Minnesota
Nevada
New Mexico
North Carolina
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Texas

November 25th
Connecticut

November 30th
Alaska
Arizona
Iowa
Montana
Nebraska (4 EV Trump, 1 EV Biden)
Rhode Island
Wisconsin

December 1st
Kansas
Washington
West Virginia

December 2nd
District of Columbia
Tennessee

December 3rd
New York
Oregon

December 4th
California
Illinois
Maryland

December 7th
New Jersey

December 8th
Colorado
Hawaii
Missouri

December 14th
Electoral College votes

Results:

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/index.html
https://cookpolitical.com/2020-national-popular-vote-tracker?

States that have sent their Certificate of Ascertainment to the National Archives:



51/51

306 EV - Biden
232 EV - Trump
538 EV - Total

States that have sent their Certificate of [Electoral College] Vote to the National Archives:



51/51

306 EV - Biden
232 EV - Trump
538 EV - Total

https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2020
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #162 on: November 11, 2020, 01:32:41 PM »
Oklahoma official results:

https://results.okelections.us/OKER/?elecDate=20201103
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #163 on: November 11, 2020, 01:35:34 PM »
Louisiana was supposed to certify yesterday, but they didn’t.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #164 on: November 11, 2020, 01:38:33 PM »
South Dakota official & certified results:

https://sdsos.gov/elections-voting/assets/2020GeneralStateCanvassFinal&Certificate.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #165 on: November 11, 2020, 01:52:56 PM »

Link:

https://sos.vermont.gov/media/heqnbco5/generalofficialresults.pdf

Total turnout / total ballots cast is higher than the votes for President and matches the AP article:

https://electionresults.vermont.gov/Index.html#/voterturnout
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #166 on: November 11, 2020, 01:56:33 PM »
South Carolina results are also official:

https://www.enr-scvotes.org/SC/106502/Web02-state.264691/#/?undefined
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #167 on: November 11, 2020, 01:59:09 PM »
WY official results:

Candidate totals

Total ballots cast
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #168 on: November 11, 2020, 02:02:14 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 11, 2020, 01:58:14 PM


2nd ?

More like 6th.

LA is the only state which missed its deadline so far.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #169 on: November 11, 2020, 02:22:07 PM »
Electoral Vote tracker, based on official/certified states:



22 Trump
  6 Biden
  8 Louisiana (Trump, deadline for certification has passed, no official results posted yet)
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #170 on: November 11, 2020, 02:50:36 PM »
Trump is an idiot.

Polls that showed Biden +17 were more likely to suppress the Democratic vote, not his own ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #171 on: November 11, 2020, 04:05:27 PM »
Cook Political has now updated their table with the 6 certified states.

Maybe LA did so yesterday, but didn’t update, because apparently there’s a holiday in the US today.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #172 on: November 12, 2020, 01:50:03 AM »
Quote from: Bootes Void on November 12, 2020, 01:38:57 AM
Why did Mississippi swing red ? They are not done counting ?

It didn’t swing R.

MS had about 200.000-250.000 ballots left to count after Election Day, mostly D-leaning Mail ballots.

Wait for the official results.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #173 on: November 12, 2020, 04:46:56 AM »
State Certificates of Ascertainment will be posted here, starting the next days:

https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2020

State Certificates of Electoral College Votes will be posted after December 14.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,202
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #174 on: November 12, 2020, 04:53:17 AM »
Ballotpedia's certification date for LA (Nov. 10) was actually wrong.

It's actually Nov. 19th:

https://www.sos.la.gov/ElectionsAndVoting/PublishedDocuments/LouisianaElectionQuickFacts.pdf
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