Beto O’Rourke 2020 campaign megathread

[Sestak]

He’d definitely visit Wisconsin and Michigan in the general.

He already did.

Making a visit before the primaries have even started is not going to translate to a general election.

Do you honestly believe this?

"Sure, Beto was breathing air ten minutes ago, but that doesn't mean he'll be breathing air in an hour!!"

The Bernie personality cult will do anything to tear down Beto.

Yet again. You completely and utterly miss the point I was making. Guess I should be used to that by now.

Lmao who is he tearing down? All he’s doing is noting that Beto is also going to have to visit these states in the general campaign for it to matter. Which is true.

[Sestak]

https://twitter.com/BetoORourke/status/1109160722192306178

This crowd at USC though!

Of course the University of Spoiled Children supports Beto.

[Sestak]

https://twitter.com/BetoORourke/status/1109160722192306178

This crowd at USC though!

Of course the University of Spoiled Children supports Beto.

Its University of South Carolina... not University of Southern Cal  (or were you saying UofSouthCarolina   students are spoiled children)?

Yeah, no, that was my bad, jumped the gun lol.

[Sestak]

Unique contributions wasn't unique donors. Of course they dump this on a Friday.

https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1109293384005570560

Your fear is showing

It's quite obvious who the Bernie people fear right now.

Likely because Beto will be Obama 2.0 and compromise on every single thing? He already backed off Medicare for All, and don't give me the stupid pragmatism argument.

I support Medicare for All and so does Beto, but he's realistic as well. We don't have the votes in Congress. The Medicare for America Act would be a massive improvement over what we have now.  That is something that could potentially become law with a Democratic President. It's not a debate over pragmatism. It's a debate over realism. The failure in the ACA was the inability to get a public option through, but that was because traitor Joe Liberman f-cked us over.

If the Republican Party in Congress had even the slightest interest in any form of compromise, I think this would be a good point. The fact is, though, they'll be ready to unilaterally oppose any President with a (D) next to their name and try to prevent them from getting anything done. If Democrats try to cede a bit and move to the center with the current Republican Party, this inevitably happens:

Omw this is spot on.

[Sestak]

I hope the weather is nice in Texas this weekend.  Beto needs to have huge rallies on Saturday (or at least huge rallies would be helpful). After all I think the mark to beat is 20k (I think Kamala had 20k & Bernie had 12k).

Is this just referring to openings? Because Bernie got 16K in SF.

[Sestak]

The rally was on one street downtown, facing the border.  It wasn’t an open space.

This. Plus add all the people watching in watch parties.

If you don’t count ‘watch parties’ for other candidates it’s stupid to count them for Beto. That’s basically “count one city for other candidates, and the entire county for Beto”. It’s already dumb enough to compare turnout in one city to three like people are doing here.

[Sestak]

The rally was on one street downtown, facing the border.  It wasn’t an open space.

This. Plus add all the people watching in watch parties.

If you don’t count ‘watch parties’ for other candidates it’s stupid to count them for Beto. That’s basically “count one city for other candidates, and the entire county for Beto”. It’s already dumb enough to compare turnout in one city to three like people are doing here.

I'm not sure that other candidates had an organized watch party system like Beto had.

It’s still comparing apples and oranges.

[Sestak]

https://twitter.com/patricksvitek/status/1112781526809313280?s=21

[Sestak]

https://www.texastribune.org/2019/03/30/beto-orourke-signed-this-pledge-oil-money-did-he-break-it/

This article really says nothing other than Beto took normal contributions from individuals who worked in the oil and gas industry (at all levels, whether a rig worker or a president of the company).  Texas as more people who have a job related to oil & gas than any other state in the country.  Should those individuals be barred from contributing in their individual capacity?  And how would you even monitor not accepting money from individuals who work in specific industries? 

This also explains why Cruz & Beto were the top 2 recipients in 2018 elections... Because of the size of Texas and the amount of individual who work in a job that is related to oil and gas.

No candidate should ever bar ppl in their individual capacities from contributing to a campaign just because of what job they happen to have.

But, but, but...MUH NARRATIVE!!!!!!!!

Yeah - Beto isn't one of my top choices, but this particular "scandal" has always been BS.

[Sestak]

https://twitter.com/wpjenna/status/1113497556414287874

The Bernie Bros told me oil and gas bundlers were keeping Beto's campaign afloat.

Beto's wife will likely help Beto remain strong with teachers going forward.  I assume part of Beto's strength with teachers comes from the commitment to education issues that he's talked about on the campaign trail during his Senate campaign... which are likely heavily influenced by his wife's (also a teacher/ education) involvement with & an work in education. I think she also ended up serving as superintended of the Non-profit bilingual charter public school in a low income section of El Paso that she helped form.

In his Senate campaign I think he often talked about marrying a teacher.   She taught kindergarten in Guatemala after college & was a first or Second grade teacher while they were dating & when they got married.  She has also been heavily involved in working to improve the public education system in El Paso.

His Education message would play really well in South Carolina (Which is a very Anti-Vouchers state & has many low income districts)... something he should talk about a lot when he makes SC campaign stops: Here is a quote from an article regarding Public Education:

"O'Rourke says he would like to increase federal aid to public schools in low-income communities. He also says teachers and local education officials should have more "autonomy" when it comes to setting classroom standards "and reduce the emphasis on arbitrary, high-stakes tests."

O'Rourke has also fought Private school vouchers, saying vouchers would take much-needed money away from public schools."  

This is good.

[Sestak]

FACTS!

https://twitter.com/T_FisherKing/status/1119011905702592512

Focus group tested Beto is NOT!

Nah, he just centers his campaign on how much of a technocrat/rich urban liberal he is. Totally different.

[Sestak]

The two most important states in 2020 will be Florida & Wisconsin. Amendment 4 (Voting Rights Restoration) having been passed and now implemented in Florida.

Maybe I spoke too soon. YIKES!

https://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2019/03/19/felon-vote-sparks-battle-for-florida-as-gop-moves-to-define-rights-921875

The upcoming s**tshow of 2020.

https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/3/25/18277470/amendment-4-florida-felon-voting-rights-fees-legislation

"In a 71-45 vote Wednesday evening, legislators voted to require people with felony records to pay restitution, as well as all court fines and fees — including fees that have been converted to a civil judgment — before regaining their voting rights. " aka a modern POLL TAX

My signature continues to be accurate.

Requiring felons to pay their pre-existing fees before voting = poll tax? LOL

Yeah, it's ridiculous to object to that requirement for felons. It's not as if it was being proposed for actual people - what's the outrage here for?

[Sestak]

I mean, he supported Will Hurd and never backed down from that. This shouldn’t be a surprise.

[Sestak]

I mean, he supported Will Hurd and never backed down from that. This shouldn’t be a surprise.

And his Hurd support should be much more potent as an attack than this.

[Sestak]

This campaign was really just a story of overconfidence and missteps throughout.


Given it’s early, he does in theory have time to try to rebuild a niche for himself and grow from there. I’m just not sure i see any way that he can do it at this point.