Trump approval ratings thread 1.2

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Only 85% of voters would vote Donald Trump again over Hillary Clinton? That's pretty terrible for Trump lol

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

PPP poll of 25 R-held swing districts for MoveOn, Dec 5-6, 3068 RV

Approve: 41
Disapprove: 56

Generic Congressional ballot: D 50, R 41

The 25 districts are AZ-2, CA-10, CA-25, CA-39, CA-45, CA-48, CA-49, CO-6, FL-26, FL-27, IA-1, IL-6, MI-11, NJ-2, NJ-11, NY-19, NY-22, PA-6, PA-7, PA-8, PA-15, TX-7, TX-23, VA-10, WA-8.

Avg generic ballot - +9 D
Hillary vs Trump average - +2.772 D

Democrats are doing an average of 6 points better than Hillary on the generic ballot

AZ-02 - +5 Hillary / +1.5 Romney
CA-10 - +3 Hillary / +3 Obama
CA-25 - +7 Hillary / +2 Romney
CA-39 - +9.5 Hillary / +4 Romney
CA-45 - +5 Hillary / +12 Romney
CA-48 - +1.5 Hillary / +12 Romney
CA-49 - +7 Hillary / +7 Romney
CO-6 - +9 Hillary / +5 Obama
FL-26 - +16 Hillary / +11.5 Obama
FL-27 - +20 Hillary / +7 Obama
IA-1 - +3.5 Trump / +14 Obama
IL-6 - +7 Hillary / +8 Romney
MI-11 - +4 Trump / +5 Romney
NJ-2 - +4 Trump / +8 Obama
NJ-11 - +1 Trump / +6 Romney
NY-19 - +6 Trump / +6 Obama
NY-22 - +15.5 Trump / +0.5 Romney
PA-6 - +0.5 Hillary / +2.5 Romney
PA-7 - +2.5 Hillary / +2 Romney
PA-8 - +0.2 Trump / +0.1 Romney
PA-15 - +7.5 Trump / +3 Romney
TX-7 - +1.5 Hillary / +20 Romney
TX-23 - +3.5 Hillary / +2.5 Romney
VA-10 - +10 Hillary / +1.5 Romney
WA-08 - +3 Hillary / +1.5 Obama

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Cmon using the 48% disapproval figure for Alabama is silly. We all know that was because democrats turned out far better than republicans on election day because of unique factors (Roy Moore being very toxic to other would-be Republican).

(Also please don't use that 47% disapproval from that Tennessee poll... that is a very big outlier. A recent Tennessee poll that polled Bredsen vs Blackburn had 52% approval 41% disapproval for Trump.)

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Why are you cherrypicking the worst Tennessee poll for Trump? He had 52% approval 41% disapproval in the Gravis poll that was just done today.

http://orlando-politics.com/2017/12/14/gravis-marketing-tennessee-poll/

I think you should take the average of the two for Tennessee.

I'm getting on your case about this because I'd rather a more complete and consistent list rather than just the latest poll (or in Tennesee's case, least favorable towards Trump).

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Y'all get so triggered when a poll destroys your democratic wave narrative.

You got Northam vs Gillespie wrong by 11 points, and Doug Jones vs Roy Moore wrong by an astoundingly sad 20 points. Your predictions are the worst I've ever seen lol. I just add +15 points for the democrat whenever I hear one of your predictions.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Don't worry limo. This thread is titled "Trump approval ratings" but it's actually "Daily dose of libs trying to feel better in Trump's America".

Doug Jones+1.5

44 point swing in Tennessee yesterday

RIP the GOP in 2018. They need to moderate and become more reasonable so they get educated swing voters like me back into their fold.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Don't worry limo. This thread is titled "Trump approval ratings" but it's actually "Daily dose of libs trying to feel better in Trump's America".

Doug Jones+1.5

44 point swing in Tennessee yesterday

RIP the GOP in 2018. They need to moderate and become more reasonable so they get educated swing voters like me back into their fold.

Bragging about Doug Jones winning is like bragging about catching fish with sticks of dynamite.

Your president has a 36% approval and a 60% disapproval despite 4% growth in the economy. He's completely done for.

The sooner you guys kick out Trump, become a more moderate party, and stand for something that isn't just supply-side economics and racism, the sooner you get educated and involved people like me to rejoin the party.

Or you could keep on exclusively going for uneducated white people, which are declining by a fast rate every single year.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

That map is so confusing. I hope they have exact approval / disapproval numbers somewhere.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Gallup

Disapprove 57 (-1)
Approve 38 (+2)

up a net five points in the last two days


TAX REFORM BUMP

The tax reform bump is real. Trump only being at 57% disapproval is going to be yuge for midterms.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

In before LimoLiberal tax bump post.

As for the actual reason, its Christmas weekend. I bet responses are way down, hence why no respectable pollster actually polls over holidays.

Edit: Lol.

Maybe it's a tax bump, maybe not.  It's not uncommon for there to be a bump in Presidential approval around Christmas; possibly people are in a more charitable mood around the holidays.  Let's see what it looks like in the middle of January.

Horrible Heitkamp Careless Claire and the Job-killer Joes should be quaking their boots right now.

You're a rightwing troll. Change your avatar and be honest with people.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

In before LimoLiberal tax bump post.

As for the actual reason, its Christmas weekend. I bet responses are way down, hence why no respectable pollster actually polls over holidays.

Edit: Lol.

Maybe it's a tax bump, maybe not.  It's not uncommon for there to be a bump in Presidential approval around Christmas; possibly people are in a more charitable mood around the holidays.  Let's see what it looks like in the middle of January.

Horrible Heitkamp Careless Claire and the Job-killer Joes should be quaking their boots right now.

You're a rightwing troll. Change your avatar and be honest with people.

The pot and the kettle, much?

I'm a republican and not a troll. I would have voted for Kim Guadagno back in November if I was still registered in New Jersey. I also voted for Johnny Isakson and Drew Ferguson (both R's) in 2016.

Just cuz I don't support a fat orange doofus or a clearly incompetent GOP congress right now doesn't mean I'm not republican. I don't have to support garbage just because they're in the same party as me.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

LOL, Trump's disapproval rating in Alabama is almost the same than Pennsylvania or Ohio and equal to Georgia. #BattlegroundAlabama

It isn't... he's using the exit poll (which, by the way, was 49% approval vs 47% disapproval) for the Roy Moore vs Doug Jones election which obviously over represents leftwing people because many rightwingers couldn't stand Roy Moore for... very obvious reasons. Trump is actually probably around +10-+12% positive in Alabama.

Also that user cherrypicked the worst polls he could find for Trump in Tennessee and Louisana.

I also doubt Trump is doing so well in Georgia. IIRC that result is from morning consult, which has been notoriously R friendly for a few months.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

http://www.cnn.com/election/results/exit-polls/florida/president

Trump's favorables went from 41-57 to 39-53 in Florida. Looks like he's gone down since election night 2016, when he was already in a very precarious situation and only saved by a super unpopular dem candidate.

Trump on track to lose bigly in 2018.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

I think Trump has hit bottom. If he gets Obamacare finally repealed/replaced and real spending cuts (not holding my breath there) done in the first half of 2018, prepare for 50-60% approval.

You sound very out of touch with the average american voter.

Cutting spending would hurt Trump's approvals. The average american loves tax cuts and loves government spending. How the hell would cutting spending make Trump's approvals go up. People (unfortunately) hardly care about the national debt.

Just look at how the Obamacare repeal went. At some point, the approval for that health care plan was 20% approval 60% disapproval.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Latest Rassmusen survey:
Approval: 45%
Disapproval: 53%
These numbers seem very accurate (Rassmusen was the only pollster that nailed the election last year), and prove what I believe that Trump is maintaining the support of all the people that voted for him last year. And by the way anyone that believes trumps going to lose Florida needs to do some research on the state, its demographics are a perfect fit for trump because it has a large old, wealthy, white, population that votes overwhelmingly republican and a lot of minority's that don't vote.

florida's electorate is 62% white (was around 66% white in 2012)

again king lear proving he knows nothing about individual states

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Remember when polls said Moore would win by 2 and Northam won by 3?

Oh wait, instead Jones won by 1.5 and Northam won by almost 9.

Turns out polls don't always overestimate democrats. But you guys choose to not believe in data, which is part of why I left the GOP (FYI, I voted for Drew Ferguson and Johnny Isakson in 2016 - both R's). But keep pushing out college-educated white people and minorities and wonder why the GOP loses everything. I don't feel welcome in the post-truth GOP party that poops on civil rights even harder than it used to.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

I think Trump has hit bottom. If he gets Obamacare finally repealed/replaced and real spending cuts (not holding my breath there) done in the first half of 2018, prepare for 50-60% approval.

You sound very out of touch with the average american voter.

Cutting spending would hurt Trump's approvals. The average american loves tax cuts and loves government spending. How the hell would cutting spending make Trump's approvals go up. People (unfortunately) hardly care about the national debt.

Just look at how the Obamacare repeal went. At some point, the approval for that health care plan was 20% approval 60% disapproval.

LOL every red avatar in here was out of touch with the "average American voter" a year ago, predicting Hillary landslides.

Then they ended up cucked. And some Hamilton electors proposed stealing the election.

Trump has been the best for the democrat party. We would have never gotten Doug Jones + 1.7 without Trump. I strongly approve of Trump

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Trump has been the best for the democrat party. We would have never gotten Doug Jones + 1.7 without Trump. I strongly approve of Trump

A 3 year senate seat for an 8 year Presidency is an interesting trade. I approve!

We got a 21 point swing in a Kansas house election. We got a 45 point swing in a recent Tennessee state house election. Don't worry - there'll be more incredible and historic losses that have never before been seen in America under your doofus-in-chief! Thanks for the albatross around the GOP, Krazeidiot.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Trump has been the best for the democrat party. We would have never gotten Doug Jones + 1.7 without Trump. I strongly approve of Trump

A 3 year senate seat for an 8 year Presidency is an interesting trade. I approve!

We got a 21 point swing in a Kansas house election. We got a 45 point swing in a recent Tennessee state house election. Don't worry - there'll be more incredible and historic losses that have never before been seen in America under your doofus-in-chief! Thanks for the albatross around the GOP, Krazeidiot.

That already happened pal. The Democrat party suffered historic losses in the 2014 and 2016 elections and began wailing about the fact that they kept losing.

I guess being condensed into this rump fringe is kinda lousy.

Does Kookie Krazeidiot remember when the Democratic party suffered historic losses in 2012? Oh wait, the GOP got cucked out of easily winnable seats in Indiana, Montana, Missouri, and North Dakota because they are just that garbage. How does a party lose seats in 4 states that vote titanium republican?

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Gallup 12/30

Approve: 40% (+2)
Disapprove: 55% (-1)

Trump's highest approval in Gallup since 9/23.

Inb4 LimoLiberal shows up with his TAX REFORM BUMP.

The tax reform SURGE is real.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Quinnipiac got the margins very right for both New Jersey and Virginia.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Can anyone find a map that shows Bush's approvals in each state?

Look at CNN exit polls for 2004 and 2008 approvals.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Latest Rassmusen Survey:
Approval: 46%
Disapproval: 53%
These numbers are really bad for Democrats, Rassmusen is the most accurate pollster (it only surveys Likely Voters) and they have been consistently showing that Donald Trump has consolidated his support from 2016, thus severely complicating Democrats path to 270 in 2020.

Wut?

KingLear is a concern troll

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

It's hilarious how a person called "Reaganfan" wants America to completely close the borders for 10 years. You do realize Reagan and the GOP business communities love immigrants (especially skilled ones) because there isn't a big enough skilled laborforce in America, right? Also unskilled is very valuable too if we want to build our crippling and failing Infrastructure.

It's going to be very hard to hit 4% GDP growth in America (which will help pay for SS and Medicare -
 extremely popular programs that the GOP base loves) without more immigration.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Another great poll for Trump. Partisan pollster PPP only find him underwater by 8 points in North Carolina, completely invalidating the Georgia poll that showed him 22 points underwater.

North Carolina, PPP

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/PPP_Release_NC_12318.pdf

Approve: 42
Disapprove: 50

These numbers are amazing for Trump, remember that many people lie to pollsters (especially Republicans), and that I currently rate North Carolina Lean Republican (along with Florida and Arizona) in the 2020 presidential election.

You're not going to get a girlfriend by posting 13 times a day on atlas.