With both candidates now decided, rate GA-Gov (user search)
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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  With both candidates now decided, rate GA-Gov (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: .
#1
Safe R
 
#2
Likely R
 
#3
Lean R
 
#4
Tilt R
 
#5
Tossup
 
#6
Tilt D
 
#7
Lean D
 
#8
Likely D
 
#9
Safe D
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 138

Author Topic: With both candidates now decided, rate GA-Gov  (Read 4267 times)
Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
Jalawest2
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,480


« on: July 26, 2018, 10:21:13 PM »

I'd be shocked if Kemp won at this point. Abrams seems to be a media superstar and I've never seen the Georgia Democrats this excited. None of the current GOP crop could've stopped her.
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Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
Jalawest2
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,480


« Reply #1 on: July 28, 2018, 07:38:19 PM »

Abrams is leading in polling and Kemp is a nutcase. Lean D.
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Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
Jalawest2
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,480


« Reply #2 on: July 29, 2018, 10:15:06 AM »

Lean R to Likely R.

Trump has more pull in GA than most people give him credit for.



Trump's numbers are worse in Georgia than any surrounding state.

Abrams is leading in polling and Kemp is a nutcase. Lean D.

Is she pulling in >50%? If not it's meaningless.
That's a literally meaningless benchmark in polling. Undecideds should not be expected to all go for Kemp.
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Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
Jalawest2
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,480


« Reply #3 on: July 29, 2018, 02:54:42 PM »

Lean R to Likely R.

Trump has more pull in GA than most people give him credit for.



Trump's numbers are worse in Georgia than any surrounding state.

Abrams is leading in polling and Kemp is a nutcase. Lean D.

Is she pulling in >50%? If not it's meaningless.
That's a literally meaningless benchmark in polling. Undecideds should not be expected to all go for Kemp.

It's not a matter of undecideds--Georgia is a 50%+1 rule state and Dems don't win runoffs in Georgia--or Abrams (or any Democrat) to win they'll have to avoid one.
The democratic coalition is higher turnout that it historically and this is a wave year. The idea that she would necessarily do much worse in a runoff is unsupported.
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