Lean R to Likely R.
Trump has more pull in GA than most people give him credit for.
Trump's numbers are worse in Georgia than any surrounding state.
Abrams is leading in polling and Kemp is a nutcase. Lean D.
Is she pulling in >50%? If not it's meaningless.
That's a literally meaningless benchmark in polling. Undecideds should not be expected to all go for Kemp.
It's not a matter of undecideds--Georgia is a 50%+1 rule state and Dems don't win runoffs in Georgia--or Abrams (or any Democrat) to win they'll have to avoid one.
The democratic coalition is higher turnout that it historically and this is a wave year. The idea that she would necessarily do much worse in a runoff is unsupported.