2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 645781 times)
F. Joe Haydn
HenryWallaceVP
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Posts: 3,248


« on: November 04, 2020, 06:14:26 PM »

Random thought: with Ohio, Florida, and probably North Carolina going for Trump, there will be hardly any active win streaks left, even if you allow for one miss. MI, WI, and PA will have win streaks going back to 2008. That's it.

Nevada?

I guess if you grant Nevada its one miss in 2016, it has a streak going back to 2004. If you switch to "always votes with the popular vote winner," though, there are a lot more options.

Nope, it goes all the way back to…1980.
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F. Joe Haydn
HenryWallaceVP
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,248


« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2020, 06:18:01 PM »

Random thought: with Ohio, Florida, and probably North Carolina going for Trump, there will be hardly any active win streaks left, even if you allow for one miss. MI, WI, and PA will have win streaks going back to 2008. That's it.

Nevada?

I guess if you grant Nevada its one miss in 2016, it has a streak going back to 2004. If you switch to "always votes with the popular vote winner," though, there are a lot more options.

Nope, it goes all the way back to…1980.

In 2000, it voted for W who did not win the popular vote. New Mexico does have a streak going back to 1980 though.

True, but I was responding to the first half of the post.
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F. Joe Haydn
HenryWallaceVP
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,248


« Reply #2 on: November 25, 2020, 02:27:43 PM »

THE CERTIFYING DUTCHMAN!

Seriously, though, it's still unsettling that it came to this. God only knows what AVL would have done if Nessel hadn't threatened to #LockHimUp. (Literally God only knows; there's an entire theological question about to what extent He "knows" counterfactuals.)

That Dutchman is my cousin! Smiley
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