With both candidates now decided, rate GA-Gov (user search)
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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  With both candidates now decided, rate GA-Gov (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: .
#1
Safe R
 
#2
Likely R
 
#3
Lean R
 
#4
Tilt R
 
#5
Tossup
 
#6
Tilt D
 
#7
Lean D
 
#8
Likely D
 
#9
Safe D
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 138

Author Topic: With both candidates now decided, rate GA-Gov  (Read 4260 times)
Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,188
United States


« on: July 25, 2018, 08:52:26 PM »

Toss-Up. I am extremely biased due to my proximity to the campaign though. I understand why others would say Tilt or Lean R. She definitely has a lot of field organizing and outreach to do.
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,188
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 27, 2018, 10:00:37 PM »

LOL
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,188
United States


« Reply #2 on: July 28, 2018, 11:04:05 PM »

Trump has more pull in GA than most people give him credit for.
This is based on what exactly?
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,188
United States


« Reply #3 on: July 29, 2018, 12:15:45 AM »

Trump has more pull in GA than most people give him credit for.
This is based on what exactly?
Kemp managed to go from a fringe candidate whose coalition were the toothless hillbillies of the state to Georgia GOP Superstar thanks to Drumpf's endorsement.

That was a Republican run off in the middle of the summer. We will see in November. Trump underperformed here and if Hillary can get to 46 percent with low black turnout, no investment or field, and being a polarizing figure, Abrams has a shot. Likely R and especially Likely R because of some imaginary pull Trump has is funny.
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,188
United States


« Reply #4 on: July 29, 2018, 03:24:19 PM »

Obama had just won the presidency convincingly and had 60 Seats in the Senate and a huge majority in the House. What incentive was there for the Democratic base to turn out for a centrist Democrat who was probably running to the right courting rural whites?

Georgia has only gotten more diverse. This race will be a Governor's race and has nothing to do with balance of power in Washington. It's one or the other and a wide gap between the candidates on every issue plus a historic candidacy on Stacey Abrams' part. She's reaching out to voters that Jim Martin probably discounted. 2008 is not relevant to what will happen in a potential run-off in December.
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,188
United States


« Reply #5 on: July 30, 2018, 01:54:57 PM »

Obama had just won the presidency convincingly and had 60 Seats in the Senate and a huge majority in the House. What incentive was there for the Democratic base to turn out for a centrist Democrat who was probably running to the right courting rural whites?

Georgia has only gotten more diverse. This race will be a Governor's race and has nothing to do with balance of power in Washington. It's one or the other and a wide gap between the candidates on every issue plus a historic candidacy on Stacey Abrams' part. She's reaching out to voters that Jim Martin probably discounted. 2008 is not relevant to what will happen in a potential run-off in December.
In some ways, Stacey Abrams 2018 feels like the statewide version of Barack Obama 2008.
It does on the ground, though I do live in a heavily Democratic area already but I’m hoping we can get 75% of Presidential turnout while the GOP areas get like 50-60% Tongue
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,188
United States


« Reply #6 on: July 31, 2018, 01:23:39 PM »

Tossup. I have a friend that lives in Georgia who voted for Trump, and he is voting for Abrams.

I think it's going to be a lot closer than people expect.
Were they a hard Trump supporter or did they just dislike Hillary?
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