2017 Virginia HoD Thread

[Kamala]

Any idea what's going on in the 27th?

[Kamala]

Good. Republicans can't even lose one more seat - have to have every seat go their way. I doubt it will.

[Kamala]

We all know those dastardly Democrats bused in 800 black people from Baltimore anyway, so the real margin is Yancey +803.

[Kamala]

This is why you always campaign in Prince Wisconsin's County, kids. You never know how close the electoral college could be!

[Kamala]

Tribbet makes a good point about how absentees can change more than in-person ballots. Rain In NOVA can make absentee ballots wet and smear ink.

Don't celebrate just yet is what I'm saying.

[Kamala]

"We need another reco–"

[Kamala]

Wait, isn't Greedo's gripe with the 2004 Washington race the fact that they did multiple recounts? But now he wants a second recount here? lol

Okay the difference with Washington 04 and HD-94 is

Yancy won the first count by 10 votes
Rossi won the first count by 250ish
Yancy lost the second count by 1 vote
Rossi won the second count by 40ish votes
Rossi then goes on to lose in the third count by 110ish votes

So the reason I want a recount is because the result changed in 04 the first 2 counts were the same.

In the Virginia it changed with yancy losing by 1 vote I think that when there is a recount that changes the actual result they should do a extra count.

There should have been a third count in Minnesota in 08 and a fourth count in Washington in 04.

Is this the "new math" baby boomers on facebook warned us about?

[Kamala]

Wait, isn't Greedo's gripe with the 2004 Washington race the fact that they did multiple recounts? But now he wants a second recount here? lol

Okay the difference with Washington 04 and HD-94 is

Yancy won the first count by 10 votes
Rossi won the first count by 250ish
Yancy lost the second count by 1 vote
Rossi won the second count by 40ish votes
Rossi then goes on to lose in the third count by 110ish votes

So the reason I want a recount is because the result changed in 04 the first 2 counts were the same.

In the Virginia it changed with yancy losing by 1 vote I think that when there is a recount that changes the actual result they should do a extra count.

There should have been a third count in Minnesota in 08 and a fourth count in Washington in 04.

a race here 22,000 votes are cast is different then a race where nearly 3 million votes are cast.

The % margin between Rossi and Gregoire in the initial count was closer than the % margin between Yancey and Simonds in the initial count. For reference, the Rossi-Gregoire initial margin would be a margin of 2 votes if it had the same total # of votes as the Yancey-Simonds election.

[Kamala]

I don’t think taking the rest of the ballot in context is a good idea, honestly. It opens up a whole can of worms as precedence.

What if the ballot was a Gillespie/Fairfax/Adams ballot, or any other non-party-line ballot?

You should only take the vote in question in consideration; not the rest of the ballot.

[Kamala]

Alternatively, they could actually try to win the election straight up.

Pretty big talk for a party which couldn’t win a seat with the actual voters of a district.

[Kamala]

The funny thing is, Simonds asked Yancey to make a deal where they respect the results of today's drawing, regardless of who won, and Yancey refused. Now a second recount is inevitable, Yancey is probably kicking himself right now for not making the deal.

But why on earth would anyone trust someone like Simonds to actually uphold such a deal?

Ah yes, everyone knows what they say about PTA moms. Can't trust them!