Senatorial Ratings and Predictions - Hawaii (user search)
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  Senatorial Ratings and Predictions - Hawaii (search mode)
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Poll
Question: (1) Rate Hawaii and (2) Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D
 
#2
Likely D
 
#3
Lean D
 
#4
Toss-Up
 
#5
Lean R
 
#6
Likely R
 
#7
Safe R
 
#8
Mazie Hirono (D)*
 
#9
Ron Curtis (R)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 66

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Senatorial Ratings and Predictions - Hawaii  (Read 1867 times)
Technocracy Timmy
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Posts: 4,640
United States


« on: October 06, 2018, 12:22:30 AM »

Safe R because Republicans just improved 2 points on the Reuters/Ipsos generic congressional ballot poll.

You do realize that 538 thinks the Democrats' chance of winning this particular race is greater than 99.9% and the Republicans' chance is less than 0.1%, right? How could such probabilities equal Safe R?

The same site that said Hillary had a 99% chance of winning, right? LOL. Fake news.

It was never at 99%; the peak probability was 96% in August, and the final probability on Election Day was 71% - which, BTW, was more pessimistic than most other outlets.

Anyhow, my point is that the correct assessment of the Hawaii Senate race should be Safe D.

It’s at least likely R. Also you conveniently ignored when huffpost said Hillary had a 98-99.99% of winning THE NIGHT of the election.
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