Rate ME-02 for 2022

[GoldenMainer]

While Dale Crafts didn't raise much money, he had ads on tv and radio with Trump's endorsement in them. Trump and Trump Jr. also visited the second district last cycle and made appearances with Crafts. And Jared still won. I'm not saying he's invincible but people lay the "Crafts was weak" argument on a bit thick in my opinion. Crafts is a former State Rep. (not a nobody) and being in a wheelchair certainly garnered some sympathy for him.

Golden is smart. His ads were far better than Gideon's last cycle. He works on local and nonpartisan issues. His vote on the covid relief bill was smart in my opinion (I'm seeing praise from Republicans on social media and he needs them to win in this district). If he wants to vote no when his vote doesn't even matter and then support other Democratic issues like the Equality Act- cool. He'll probably run for Senate when Angus retires anyways.

As for 2022, I'd say somewhere between Tossup and Tilt R.

[GoldenMainer]

Hopefully he pulls a Gillibrand (or a reverse Sinema, haha) and pivots left when he goes from representing a conservative-leaning district to a liberal-leaning state

I bet he would to an extent. When he first won, he joined the Progressive Caucus and supported Medicare for All. He's also big on getting money out of politics.