NY: Convicted Felon Donald Trump! (user search)
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  NY: Convicted Felon Donald Trump! (search mode)
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Author Topic: NY: Convicted Felon Donald Trump!  (Read 93242 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: March 18, 2023, 11:32:48 AM »

The political side of me is actually rooting for Trump’s indictment because it’ll hopefully clear a path for DeSantis.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #1 on: March 18, 2023, 12:21:40 PM »

The political side of me is actually rooting for Trump’s indictment because it’ll hopefully clear a path for DeSantis.
I have a feeling an indictment will probably benefit Trump, as he'll use it as proof that the establishment has it in for his 2024 campaign.  It will feed well into his platform.

The more logical side of me agrees that it'll help Trump in the primary, but hurt him in the general. That is why Democrats are going after him.

It'll harden the die hards, definitely, but will it convert swing voters? Will he be able to peel off DeSantis's base voters? That's the big question.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #2 on: March 18, 2023, 01:54:21 PM »

The political side of me is actually rooting for Trump’s indictment because it’ll hopefully clear a path for DeSantis.
I have a feeling an indictment will probably benefit Trump, as he'll use it as proof that the establishment has it in for his 2024 campaign.  It will feed well into his platform.

The more logical side of me agrees that it'll help Trump in the primary, but hurt him in the general. That is why Democrats are going after him.

It'll harden the die hards, definitely, but will it convert swing voters? Will he be able to peel off DeSantis's base voters? That's the big question.

DeSantis’s base voters are the people that like Trump too.

The big question is how many will switch their votes to Trump and how many will stick with DeSantis.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #3 on: March 19, 2023, 02:24:49 PM »

One difference between this and January 6th that may help Trump is that I think mainstream GOP politicians didn't yet appreciate on January 6th just how much pressure they were under from their primary voters to stick with Trump no matter what (see Graham's "count me out" speech from that day).

The impeachment vote says otherwise.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #4 on: March 30, 2023, 09:00:30 PM »

Top minds of Atlas

This story died off quick as can be. 

Might’ve been a fundraising ploy. Doesn’t seem this is happening.

Just as I suspect. Trump will never be arrested. He’ll never be charged. It’s been fantasy talk since 2016

The grand jury keeps getting more an more incompetent, yet an indictment is supposed to "hurt" him.

Don't get your hopes up for next week either.

If I had to bet money, I don't think Trump will be indicted. I'll believe it when I see it. Its been 8 years of investigations.
I was wrong, I'm surprised Bragg decided to end Dems' 2024 hopes by indicting Trump for paying off a porn star.

What states that you had Biden winning do you now think Trump wins?
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Tekken_Guy
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Posts: 13,267
United States


P P P
« Reply #5 on: March 30, 2023, 09:09:59 PM »

Top minds of Atlas

This story died off quick as can be. 

Might’ve been a fundraising ploy. Doesn’t seem this is happening.

Just as I suspect. Trump will never be arrested. He’ll never be charged. It’s been fantasy talk since 2016

The grand jury keeps getting more an more incompetent, yet an indictment is supposed to "hurt" him.

Don't get your hopes up for next week either.

If I had to bet money, I don't think Trump will be indicted. I'll believe it when I see it. Its been 8 years of investigations.
I was wrong, I'm surprised Bragg decided to end Dems' 2024 hopes by indicting Trump for paying off a porn star.

What states that you had Biden winning do you now think Trump wins?
Not just Trump. Any republicans will now win WI/AZ/PA.

How about Michigan, Nevada, and Georgia?
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Tekken_Guy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,267
United States


P P P
« Reply #6 on: March 30, 2023, 09:23:12 PM »

Top minds of Atlas

This story died off quick as can be. 

Might’ve been a fundraising ploy. Doesn’t seem this is happening.

Just as I suspect. Trump will never be arrested. He’ll never be charged. It’s been fantasy talk since 2016

The grand jury keeps getting more an more incompetent, yet an indictment is supposed to "hurt" him.

Don't get your hopes up for next week either.

If I had to bet money, I don't think Trump will be indicted. I'll believe it when I see it. Its been 8 years of investigations.
I was wrong, I'm surprised Bragg decided to end Dems' 2024 hopes by indicting Trump for paying off a porn star.

What states that you had Biden winning do you now think Trump wins?
Not just Trump. Any republicans will now win WI/AZ/PA.

How about Michigan, Nevada, and Georgia?
Michigan - Harder. 2016 was lighting striking. It can strike twice but VBM laws make it tough. A populist can win but it’s hard.
Nevada - I’ve been fooled by this one too many times, and I think non-Cuban hispanics trend left with a Dem incumbent.
Georgia - If republicans win this they have over 300 EVs already. It’s a nonfactor.

Why do you think Arizona flips now? Kari Lake couldn’t win it, so why can Trump? Where will he make those gains?
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Tekken_Guy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,267
United States


P P P
« Reply #7 on: March 31, 2023, 12:37:22 PM »

Top minds of Atlas

This story died off quick as can be. 

Might’ve been a fundraising ploy. Doesn’t seem this is happening.

Just as I suspect. Trump will never be arrested. He’ll never be charged. It’s been fantasy talk since 2016

The grand jury keeps getting more an more incompetent, yet an indictment is supposed to "hurt" him.

Don't get your hopes up for next week either.

If I had to bet money, I don't think Trump will be indicted. I'll believe it when I see it. Its been 8 years of investigations.
I was wrong, I'm surprised Bragg decided to end Dems' 2024 hopes by indicting Trump for paying off a porn star.

What states that you had Biden winning do you now think Trump wins?
Not just Trump. Any republicans will now win WI/AZ/PA.

How about Michigan, Nevada, and Georgia?
Michigan - Harder. 2016 was lighting striking. It can strike twice but VBM laws make it tough. A populist can win but it’s hard.
Nevada - I’ve been fooled by this one too many times, and I think non-Cuban hispanics trend left with a Dem incumbent.
Georgia - If republicans win this they have over 300 EVs already. It’s a nonfactor.

Why do you think Arizona flips now? Kari Lake couldn’t win it, so why can Trump? Where will he make those gains?
She wins with presidential turnout. Would’ve won in 2022 if not for Blake Masters dragging down the ballot.

Just a week ago in the 2024 margins thread you said Biden will win Arizona by 2, which is more than you had him up by in Michigan and Nevada. Why would he suddenly now lose Arizona and yet MI and NV don’t flip either?
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