2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[brucejoel99]

So do we know anything about when enough remaining numbers in GA for the lead to flip are getting released? Or for the lead to flip in PA, for that matter?

[brucejoel99]

Trump +48 in PA now.

48... votes?

Link now, please!

[brucejoel99]

Has anyone called GA-Sen as runoff?

NBC did, I think.

[brucejoel99]

Let’s say the Senate actually does come down to 50-50. Does that mean Kamala would be the first VP to be in the Senate so often she actually might be “President of the Senate” in more than name since... What? John Adams???

Cheney from January - June 2001.

[brucejoel99]

So, are we getting Clayton tonight after all or...?

43 minutes to midnight. Tick tock tick tock.

[brucejoel99]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324567154306490368

Bee Hive Caribbean Elbow Switch?

Hive Sea Knee Off

[brucejoel99]

I'm waiting until a major network makes it official before I post my full thoughts, but PQG is a VERY happy girl right now. 

If you think you're happy, imagine how those of us who've been wanting President Biden since the Obama administration feel!

[brucejoel99]

So Fox's map shows Biden at 270, but they're not making the call?

Watching Fox right now, they're still at 264.

[brucejoel99]

CNN: Maricopa will report some results in 15 minutes.

Anyone know how those might skew?

Apparently for Biden:

BTW, it seems like most of the remaining ballots out of Maricopa are from AZ-6, AZ-7, and AZ-9, so that's a goods sign for Biden.

[brucejoel99]

LOL at all the love for McCain. Dems are now the party of Reagan/Bush.

Ah yes, because Reagan/Bush would've supported a $15 minimum wage, the repeal of right-to-work laws, investment into renewable energy, decriminalized weed, a public option, high-speed rail, a carbon tax, universal pre-K, free community college & trade school, & publicly-funded elections.

It almost makes too much sense!

[brucejoel99]

LOL at all the love for McCain. Dems are now the party of Reagan/Bush.

Ah yes, because Reagan/Bush would've supported a $15 minimum wage, the repeal of right-to-work laws, investment into renewable energy, decriminalized weed, a public option, high-speed rail, a carbon tax, universal pre-K, free community college & trade school, & publicly-funded elections.

It almost makes too much sense!

Will any of that happen in the next four years?

Unfortunately unlikely, given that a Republican Senate looks more likely than not at this point (c'mon Georgia!!), but that doesn't change the fact that the claim that the "Dems are now the party of Reagan/Bush" is a bunch of malarkey, plain & simple.

[brucejoel99]

So why hasn't the election been called yet?

Because the networks are cowards.

[brucejoel99]

https://twitter.com/BoKnowsNews/status/1324764594917773315

[brucejoel99]

This is absolutely f***ing ridiculous, there is no reason for NV, PA, and GA to remain uncalled. CALL THE DAMN RACE

I get GA remaining formally uncalled as there'll likely be a recount (though the networks could always just say Biden is the "apparent winner" there), but NV & PA should've already been called hours ago, yeah.

[brucejoel99]

Have they said what time President-Elect Biden's speech is tonight?

Only that it'll be during primetime.

[brucejoel99]

Well I just donated $10 each to Ossoff and Warnock.

Just to clarify: as a foreigner, I am in no way allowed to donate to a US senate campaign, right?

No.

Unless you send the money to a US citizen who donates it for you.

Pretty sure isn’t kosher either.

Yeah, as if the FEC would care if I transfer 20€ to the US and some US citizen then donates (in his/her name !) to the GA campaigns ...

...

Yes. The FEC cares about illegal campaign contributions. That's literally their job.

[brucejoel99]

When is the Pittsburgh vote dump expected?

And what is it expected to widen the PA margin to, if anybody might have any potential insight into that?

[brucejoel99]

Just saw 2024 boards are now available.

When does Q-Pac drop their first PA poll?

I'm thinking Harris +1. 

Gotta get through some IA & NH polls first before we can get that far

[brucejoel99]

Just saw 2024 boards are now available.

When does Q-Pac drop their first PA poll?

I'm thinking Harris +1. 

Gotta get through some IA & NH polls first before we can get that far

If those states even matter anymore.

Don't worry, everyone will keep acting as if they matter & hype them as such, even if they don't actually matter anymore.

[brucejoel99]

Hearing a report that the Biden campaign actually requested that networks not call any remaining state until his lead is above 0.5%.

Link?

[brucejoel99]

Are we getting another NV update tonight?

IIRC the last one was the last one promised for today.

[brucejoel99]

https://twitter.com/hugolowell/status/1324890440462700546

[brucejoel99]

Jesus. Nearly 4M left in CA alone.

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1324883424696471552

These alone might increase Biden's national PV margin by a full 1%.

Could Biden end up with over 80,000,000 votes?

Seems like it'll end up somewhere around there, so that's probably the over/under to keep an eye on.

[brucejoel99]

Any chance we get a call in 5 min from Maricopa and Philly?

Wouldn't that be nice, followed by a Biden winning speech and then we can all finally go to bed!!!

At the rate this election's been going, we won't get something that's "nice."

[brucejoel99]

.41% lead now

Anybody have any idea as to what time tonight/tomorrow that 0.5% threshold will likely be crossed at?