GOP's path for Electoral College victory in 2024 (user search)
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  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  GOP's path for Electoral College victory in 2024 (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What's the easiest way for Trump to hit 270?
#1
WI + PA + NV
 
#2
GA + AZ + WI
 
#3
GA + PA
 
#4
AZ + PA + NV
 
#5
AZ + WI + PA
 
#6
PA + MI (House breaks tie)
 
#7
Other (please specify below)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 49

Author Topic: GOP's path for Electoral College victory in 2024  (Read 1829 times)
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,772


« on: July 19, 2023, 01:32:52 PM »

Here is the most Likely Scenario if Trump is the Republican Nominee...



Trump isn't going to win Nevada, Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado, Georgia, North Carolina and Virginia.

So Trumps chances are basically non-existent.
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2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,772


« Reply #1 on: July 19, 2023, 01:41:37 PM »

Trump isn't going to win Nevada, North Carolina

But he WILL carry MN and MI, under your outlined scenario?
Since all you Trump Worshippers wanted a winning scenario I outlined one and that's pretty unrealistic.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,772


« Reply #2 on: July 19, 2023, 02:01:03 PM »

WI is unlikely to flip back to Trump.

Imagine  calling me a "Trump worshipper" lmao. Anyways,

I outlined one, but it's pretty unrealistic.

I think Trump could definitely get  any of NV, GA, AZ back though. And he's certainly the favourite  right now  in NC, if not a big one.

He also has a shot at flipping NH and ME-AL for sure, even if he's a significant underdog in both  as of  this moment.
NV, GA, AZ have shifted to the left in recent Elections. Republicans haven't won a Federal Race in Nevada (either for President or Senate) since former Senator Dean Heller beat then Congresswoman Shelley Berkley in 2012.

The Demographic Shifts in GA, AZ coupled with Presidential Turnout makes it almost impossible for a Republican Presidential Candidate to win there.
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