WI-SEN 2022 Megathread: Who stole my cheese?

[Calthrina950]

Both Evers and Barnes have had nicer things to say about domestic abusers and child rapists than about Kyle Rittenhouse.

I think both are underdogs at this point. Evers has never been particularly popular, and Barnes seems like the kind of candidate who would do very poorly outside of Milwaukee and Madison, in both the WOW counties and the rural areas.

[Calthrina950]

Likely R > Safe R.

I wouldn't go that far, but Johnson is favored. If I had to guess, he will defeat Barnes by around mid-single digits this fall.

[Calthrina950]

Likely R > Safe R.

I wouldn't go that far, but Johnson is favored. If I had to guess, he will defeat Barnes by around mid-single digits this fall.

It's quite likely to be republican wave environment.. and contrary to some analysis, Johnson is a strong incumbent.. he outperformed trump in 16.

It's borderline Safe R.

As I've said, Johnson is favored, but it wouldn't be advisable for Republicans to assume that this race is safe.

[Calthrina950]

The entire quote is even worse

https://twitter.com/HeartlandSignal/status/1567607996275908610

Johnson and Baldwin absolutely hate each other, so it's not surprising that he would be denigrating her in his remarks here.

[Calthrina950]

The entire quote is even worse

https://twitter.com/HeartlandSignal/status/1567607996275908610

Johnson and Baldwin absolutely hate each other, so it's not surprising that he would be denigrating her in his remarks here.

They are objectively the most toxic Senate delegation towards eachother. At least folks like Tester and Daines or Manchin and Capito get along fine as they all have pretty chill personalities. In this case it really seems to be more on Johnson's end but also Baldwin tending to be a pretty firm Dem and ot falling for a lot of R bs.

I do wonder if there's some level of tension between Lee and Romney?

I wouldn't be surprised if there were. Lee is by far the most conservative member of Utah's congressional delegation, as the gay marriage vote will show. And of course, he voted to acquit Trump and has been a hardline conservative through his time in office, much more so than Romney.

Another example of a good Senatorial relationship is that between Brown and Portman in Ohio. Brown is a generic liberal Democrat and Portman is a "country club" Republican, but they've always gotten along well. But from all accounts, Johnson is a distinctly unpleasant individual, and I wouldn't be surprised if his affinity for conspiracy theories is also a factor in his poor relationship with Baldwin.

[Calthrina950]

The entire quote is even worse

https://twitter.com/HeartlandSignal/status/1567607996275908610

Johnson and Baldwin absolutely hate each other, so it's not surprising that he would be denigrating her in his remarks here.

They are objectively the most toxic Senate delegation towards eachother. At least folks like Tester and Daines or Manchin and Capito get along fine as they all have pretty chill personalities. In this case it really seems to be more on Johnson's end but also Baldwin tending to be a pretty firm Dem and ot falling for a lot of R bs.

I do wonder if there's some level of tension between Lee and Romney?

I wouldn't be surprised if there were. Lee is by far the most conservative member of Utah's congressional delegation, as the gay marriage vote will show. And of course, he voted to acquit Trump and has been a hardline conservative through his time in office, much more so than Romney.

Another example of a good Senatorial relationship is that between Brown and Portman in Ohio. Brown is a generic liberal Democrat and Portman is a "country club" Republican, but they've always gotten along well. But from all accounts, Johnson is a distinctly unpleasant individual, and I wouldn't be surprised if his affinity for conspiracy theories is also a factor in his poor relationship with Baldwin.

While I agree Johnson is uniquely toxic compared to most Senate Rs, I would have a hard time seeing Baldwin truly "getting along" with most any R in the sense they're actual friends. She def isn't as toxic overall.

Why would it be difficult for you to envision this?

[Calthrina950]

Seems like a huge waste of Obama's time, but then he never did have great political instincts. (I am prepared to eat crow on the first part if Barnes does the impossible.)

I was wondering when Obama was going to hit the campaign trail, and I'm surprised that he didn't do it sooner. But yes, I think we know by now that Obama can't deliver for other candidates besides himself. We saw this with Gillum and Nelson in Florida in 2018 and McAuliffe in Virginia last year. Obama campaigned for all of them, and it did them no good. I don't see why it would be different for Barnes.

[Calthrina950]

I know yard signs don’t vote, but I’ve driven all around the state and it’s just sad to see Johnson’s signs outnumbering Barnes’ 15-1.

What are you expecting the county map to look like? I'm assuming it will be similar to 2020, with Barnes winning largely the same counties that Biden did, and with rural areas swinging heavily Republican compared to 2016.