MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread

[Calthrina950]

Hawley's campaing has finally started running ads, where up to this point it had all been outside groups pouring in against McCaskill. McCaskill's campaign has been on the air, unchallenged, since April.

I had a brief interaction with someone on one of the news websites that I frequent, who is convinced that Hawley will beat McCaskill. I told them that the polls have shown McCaskill in the lead, and that she has been working vigorously towards reelection. They however, countered by saying that Hawley hasn't been officially nominated and hasn't really started to campaign, and that McCaskill is doomed. That of course, seems to be a grave misinterpretation of that race.

[Calthrina950]

lol now random blue avatars are just posting what numbers their highly rigorous models show occurring. What a sad joke this forum has devolved into.

DataGuy doesn't come across as a fire-breathing partisan to me. He had Sinema winning in the prediction he put up on the Arizona thread.

[Calthrina950]

lol now random blue avatars are just posting what numbers their highly rigorous models show occurring. What a sad joke this forum has devolved into.

DataGuy doesn't come across as a fire-breathing partisan to me. He had Sinema winning in the prediction he put up on the Arizona thread.

Two words: who cares.

Are you saying that users can't post predictions on here?

[Calthrina950]

We need more polls from Missouri. Hawley must be surging over McCaskill. I wouldn't be surprised if he wins by +5 at least.

I was right! Time to buy myself a Missouri themed dessert as a reward. Any suggestions guys?

I have none, but you were right not only about Missouri, but also about North Dakota and Indiana (though your margins were somewhat off). You were also correct in predicting a Blackburn win by double digits in Tennessee (though she won by 11%, as compared to the 14% you predicted). Hawley won by 6%, which was much wider than I had predicted.