Nah, can't see it.
I'll go one step further and say Biden will get 29-30% in Montgomery
See, I don’t think those two are incompatible. I think Biden will get around 30% of the vote here, but the turnout spike will put Trump’s margin right around 100k. Of course, I’m still skeptical Trump will do any better than Cruz or arrest the #trends in any of the big counties for it to matter statewide if he’s losing Travis County by like 340k.
With that in mind, would you say 29-30% is a better metric to follow for a Biden win in TX?