Bernie Sanders 2020 campaign megathread v2 (pg 77 - declares victory in Iowa)

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It certainly feels like, here in Riverside, Bernie's campaign (& Bloomberg, to an extent) is the only one with any kind of presence. I'm constantly getting messages about canvass/phonebanking events in adjacent cities & I see more of his stickers/signs around town by the day.

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Again, people should stop thinking that the primaries will be decided on Twitter

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Remember people, this campaign is touting the endorsement of a known homophobic, racist, transphobic, bro. The same campaign also endorse a well-known misogynist who is also a genocide-denying freak. A staff that is led by David Sirota, a known bigot and attacker of the Democratic Party.

What high hat game do we need to convince of Bernie Sanders incredibly toxic campaign?

It'd do you good to avoid Twitter for a day, lest we keep debating the evils of an MMA commentator's endorsement

Then again, I love the imagery of paintbrushing all Bernie supporters as evil; From Joe Rogan to Arianna Grande

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That @NYforSanders account is one of the most annoying accounts on Twitter.  It's a neverending stream of cheap shots, out of context quotes, and whataboutism.

Perhaps take a break from Political Twitter for a day?

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Me reading the last 1.5 pages of "discussion"

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Political Twitter, avoid it for a day, yadda yadda yadda

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I honestly don't see him getting the nomination. He needed Iowa.

Thanks, we didn’t see the other 10 places you posted this

Yet to be proven wrong.

And we didn't see the other 10 places where you responded with that

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Sanders should probably drop out. The media narrative that he lost Iowa is already out there, and Buttigieg is probably going to win New Hampshire.

How come the ignore button isn't working for me? It'd really come in handy right now

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Another day, another GeneralMacArthur "Why I hate Bernie" post

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Bernie should be biting his nails. He lost Iowa to a gay mayor who no one had even heard about a year ago. He came shockingly close to losing NH to said Mayor had it not been for Amy Klobuchar who managed to hold Buttiegeg off enough. Let's be real Bernie didn't win NH as much as he should have. Now he has to face off in NV and SC where the enviorment is more friendly to Biden. And if he does make it past, a man named Mike Bloomberg will be waiting for him on Super Tuesday.

While Bernie should certainly be worried, his base doesn't seem to be cracking. The Biden/Klobuchar/Buttigieg trio, however, should be dreading getting the hook from him next month

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I sometimes wonder how much shorter this thread would be if the anti-posts from the usual suspect/suspects was removed

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Can't wait for your SoCal analysis/preview of the primary, NOVA!

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RE: Southern California, Sanders will probably do very well in the Gateway Cities, the San Fernando Valley, Southern San Diego County, and much of the Inland Empire, but these areas are low-turnout and not the bulk of the population. He'll get smashed in South LA by Biden/Bloomberg, and Orange County, Ventura County, the Westside, the San Gabriel Valley, and Northern San Diego County by Pete/Klob/Warren/Bloomberg. He'll likely get a plurality, but depending on who drops after Super Tuesday, Warren/Pete/Klob voters will pick whichever remains, and that's a serious voting block in CA.

1. Gateway, SFV, South San Diego & the IE won't matter much for the statewide total, but certainly for the district-level delegates.

2. Hillary/Bernie did about 50/50 last time in Northern San Diego. Granted, most of Bernie's share could have been anti-Hillary votes. He did pretty good overall in San Diego, Orange & Ventura Counties (At least compared to LA & the IE)

3. Unless you meant Warren/Pete/Klob delegates during convention rollcall, that last sentence confused me

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The Sanders folks have been awfully quiet on social media over the last 48 hours, despite Bernie holding a rally in Colorado of 11,000, and another one in Richmond, California where thousands are expected to attend. 

Contra Costa County is the key to the Bay....[snip]

You do understand that Contra Costa County includes Walnut Creek, Concord, Pittsburgh, and Antioch, right? These places are not going to be strong for Sanders. The Bay is going to be tricky. The non-black bits of Alameda County east of the 580 will be good for Sanders, as will South San Jose, but the rest doesn't look so good. San Mateo County, Northwest Santa Clara, Marin, the tri-Valley area, and northeast Contra Costa will be extraordinarily weak for Sanders. No idea what to expect out of San Francisco. [snip]

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Haven't been able to locate the '16 results easily at my fingertips for the '16 DEM PRIM, but splintered field in those places, with the flat-lands of Contra Costa likely equals Bernie win the Bay Area overall....

If I may indulge and break away from the mandatory daily bickering over Political Twitter:

I got city results for Alameda, Contra Costa, San Mateo & Santa Clara. They're sorted by Sanders support and forgive me for the shoddy alignment

Alameda County
Emeryville        55.18%   44.78%
Berkeley        54.46%   45.29%
Albany        51.79%   47.90%
Oakland        50.65%   49.03%
Alameda        49.46%   50.13%
San Leandro   45.16%   54.08%
Newark        44.89%   54.35%
Livermore        44.85%   54.16%
Hayward        44.02%   55.32%
Dublin        43.52%   55.85%
Fremont        42.99%   56.33%
Union City        42.81%   56.64%
Pleasanton     40.92%   58.26%
Piedmont        30.52%   69.19%


Contra Costa County
El Cerrito                        49.09%   50.50%
Concord                        47.52%   50.81%
Martinez                        46.88%   51.37%
Oakley                        46.49%   50.57%
San Pablo                        46.44%   52.55%
Pleasant Hill                45.79%   53.11%
Pinole                        45.19%   53.34%
Richmond                        44.78%   54.33%
Unincorporated Area        43.17%   55.40%
Antioch                        41.35%   56.57%
Clayton                        40.99%   56.77%
Brentwood                        40.57%   56.99%
Pittsburg                        40.52%   57.95%
San Ramon                39.53%   59.39%
Hercules                        39.07%   59.94%
Walnut Creek                37.81%   61.28%
Moraga                        37.81%   61.06%
Lafayette                        35.48%   63.67%
Danville                        35.22%   63.49%
Orinda                        31.53%   67.87%


San Mateo County
Brisbane                        49.82%   49.73%
Pacifica                        49.67%   49.80%
East Palo Alto                48.78%   50.91%
San Bruno                        44.25%   55.11%
Redwood City                43.86%   55.63%
South San Francisco        42.52%   56.69%
Half Moon Bay                42.48%   57.05%
Unincorporated Area        41.87%   57.75%
Daly City                        41.42%   57.94%
Millbrae                        41.13%   57.99%
Colma                        40.34%   59.24%
Belmont                        40.23%   59.38%
San Mateo                        40.13%   59.32%
Burlingame                37.64%   61.78%
Foster City                        36.14%   63.29%
San Carlos                        35.66%   63.94%
Menlo Park                32.60%   67.26%
Woodside                        29.68%   69.84%
Hillsborough                25.53%   73.93%
Portola Valley                25.27%   74.65%
Atherton                        23.41%   76.25%


Santa Clara County
Campbell                        46.85%   52.44%
Santa Clara                45.62%   53.51%
Sunnyvale                        44.12%   55.28%
San Jose                        43.38%   55.91%
Gilroy                        43.27%   55.84%
Mountain View                42.66%   57.02%
Unincorporated Area        41.50%   57.74%
Morgan Hill                41.11%   57.74%
Milpitas                        40.60%   58.68%
Cupertino                        40.10%   59.50%
Los Gatos                        35.52%   63.87%
Saratoga                        33.98%   65.45%
Palo Alto                        33.88%   65.83%
Los Altos Hills                31.07%   68.11%
Los Altos                        29.98%   69.51%
Monte Sereno                29.82%   69.48%