As long as the AZ GOP nominee in 2022 isn't a Lake/Masters/Finchem type, this is easily Hobbs IMO.
Hobbs was a bland candidate who honestly was not a strong candidate who got lucky that Lake was a nutcase who decided it was smart to insult McCain and was toxic for many moderates. I think Lombardo for example would've beaten Hobbs if he was in AZ.
NV to me is still more culturally "liberal" and Sisolak was hurt greatly by his COVID restrictions and barely lost.
So Hobbs is completely safe then. Arizona GOP seems incapable of nominating a serious candidate.
Yall are going to be disappointed if your assuming AZ GOP is going to eternally nominate lunatics. Now the more moderate candidates can point to 2022 as proof these people are unelectable