2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)

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Lol at Renee Ellmers. When will she get the message?

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Lol at Renee Ellmers. When will she get the message?

She was running? For what lol?

Us house district 13

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Irwin leading Lee 51-31 in PA-12 on NYT.

Booooooo

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https://www.kgw.com/article/news/politics/elections/primary-election-2022-results-oregon-portland/283-3d3554f8-23b7-4dd9-99b6-11bee5bfe48e

OR-5 is potentially winnable


Republicans are only 1k behind in the total votes in that district than the Democrats

This is the most competitive district in Oregon, if Republicans were going to make any gains in the state it'd be here.

The problem is both Bend and the Portland Suburbs in the district are zooming left really fast.

OR-5 seems like a 2022 R Flip, potentially D flip in 2024 or 2026 if she’s lucky.

If it flips it’s strictly down to national environment and would have happened to Schrader as well and a likely two year rental. In a neutral year, the new district is likely D.

Yeah basically this, if Democrats lose a Biden+9 seat, they have far bigger issues than “scary non conservative.” Never mind that Democrats shouldn’t even have outright conservatives in the caucus to begin with.

Unfortunately, the DCCC leadership probably won't see it that way. They will insist that a conservadem like Schrader would have won and will work overtime in 2024 to stop progressives from winning primaries

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I don’t know where the idea that conservative Democrats must be electoral titans comes from anyway.
Schrader has historically done either marginally better or marginally worse than national and statewide Dems in his district. There is no evidence that being a giant headache for his colleagues has actually netted him any votes.

I'm not disagreeing with you but I'm just saying what I think is going to happen

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Nice to see Cuellar win and the primary electorate evidence a little sanity. We shouldn’t throw away this seat just because the donor class demands that we run a future Squad member in an R-trending swing district.

What's your reaction to Schrader possibly losing?

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I think Menendez could have been beaten in 2018 tbh

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What is Robertson like? I know Peters is totally insane but I don't know much about Robertson

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I'm surprised Hunt isn't doing better

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IF Meijer wins, Lake loses, AND the KS abortion amendment goes down in flames, this has to be the worst night for Donald Trump since November 2020 right?

If so, this be me right now:

“He gazed up at the enormous face. Two years it had taken him to learn what kind of smile was hidden beneath the goofy gaze. O cruel, needless misunderstanding! O stubborn, self-willed exile from the loving breast! Two bourbon-scented tears trickled down the sides of his nose. But it was all right, everything was all right, the struggle was finished. He had won the victory over himself. He loved Dark Brandon.”

Dude, he could become entrenched with his #bipartisan appeal. Gibbs is a lunatic that would probably lose even in this environment

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Dems only appear to be slightly behind Rs in AZ primary turnout, which is quite good considering historically Rs have an advantage in registration plus the R primary is actually seriously contested.

Don't get excited. Remember AZ 2020? Biden's lead decreased as more votes came in

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Well, suddenly I feel a lot less stupid for daring to say that maybe the reason you see polls like (as just one example) Whitmer +15 but Biden -20 in Michigan suggested that the reason for Biden's bad approvals had as much to do with poor progressive enthusiasm as they did with conservative backlash.

Now that Dark Brandon is finally showing us mere glimpses of his true form, I expect even that to change in the next few months!

LMFAO. The Rs thought they would cruise to victory no matter what this November so they nominated literally the worst candidates possible in almost every race.

Well, it's a bold strategy Cotton, let's see if it pays off! As for my own prediction for the GOP's fate now:

Alben, we love you but tbh right now you kind of sound like a bernie supporter that believes there are more progressives in this country than there actually are.

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Not only does it look like Beutler and Newhouse survive it looks like they will face each face a Dem (good for them).

It's 100% early vote. IDK how bad they will do with e-day voters, but given they aren't ahead by much now, they are likely doomed

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Not only does it look like Beutler and Newhouse survive it looks like they will face each face a Dem (good for them).

It's 100% early vote. IDK how bad they will do with e-day voters, but given they aren't ahead by much now, they are likely doomed

It's all mail vote in Washington. Don't expect any big swings.

LOL I totally forgot

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JHB looks like she will beat Kent

RIP Pieman

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AZ-GOV R - Lake
AZ-AG R - Hamadeh
MI-6 R - Williams
MI-13 D - Thanedar

Uncalled:
WA-SOS Slot 2
WA-2 Slot 2
WA-3 Slot 2
WA-4
WA-7 Slot 2
WA-8 Slot 2
AZ-SOS D
AZ-4 R
KS-Treasurer R

I now accept my accolades!

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Not sure if this has been mentioned, but DDHQ projected that Dan Newhouse will make the top two. Matt Larkin also looks to be the likely GOP candidate in WA-08.

What a bunch of idiots. Dunn would have not only been favored to win in 2022, but he could actually have been able to hold it in 2024.

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FL-10: Good to see two Alan Grayson and Corrine Brown both flopping.

It's sad to see what he's become. I was his biggest fan in early 2010 and then starting in 2016 he went off the deep end

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Liberal elites continue to have no pulse on the conservative electorate

A staunch conservative almost lost to a complete lunatic. It shouldn't have been close!

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Maxwell Frost, a 25-year-old progressive candidate, won the open FL-10 Democratic primary-

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1562222642748440576

And Neera Tanden wept

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https://twitter.com/1776ProjectPac/status/1562238937443323904?t=7V0nYjYwPgX-ZfQr...

But I was told democrats couldn't fall further with hispanics!

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How are dems doing in FL 9?

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Otsego EV goes 73-27 for Ryan

https://twitter.com/EvanPerc_/status/1562244607219564544/photo/1

And? The election vote will probably be 85 something GOP. What's your point?

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Goldman 27.8% 8,363
Niou 21.8% 6,553
Jones 17.5% 5,279
Rivera 15.8% 4,766
Simon 6.4% 1,938
Holtzman 5.1% 1,527

Niou is inching up. You OK lief? /s

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

It's very depressing that Sean Maloney single-handedly ended the careers of two exciting rising stars in Jones and Biaggi.

Not Maloney's fault, he ran where he lived. Jones made a bad choice in not running in NY-17, if he is indeed a star he would have beat Maloney. As for Biaggi, she tried to move up and got whipped. Not exactly star material.

Also ironically Biaggi was the carpetbagger. She lives way at the southern end of Bowman’s district, and most of her Senate district is in the Bronx, but ran in NY-17 purely out of spite. Progressives complaining about Maloney when it was Jones and Biaggi who ran around the map playing games while Maloney just ran in the district where his home is is just absurd sour grapes.

Maloney's the dccc chair. He has a responsibility to the party. We lucked out with Pat Ryan winning, but we could have ended up with  no incumbent in NY 18
And you can't tell me that dccc wouldn't have spent millions to try and get Sp Maloney through the primary against Jones