Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

I know turnout reports don't mean much, but lol at the idea that "low propensity trumpists" would not vote b/c "he's not on the ballot"

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Can Herring still win or is he doomed too

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

There is no way McAullife won hispanics by 37 points. I can buy him winning them but he definitely did worse than biden.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Bump.

Earlier this month, the Republican nominee for 1 of the 2 median districts in the HoD was recorded privately endorsing a total abortion ban.  IMO, this will probably nationalize things enough for Dems to flip the chamber.

https://www.wric.com/news/politics/capitol-connection/political-analyst-says-candidate-caught-on-tape-advocating-for-total-ban-on-abortion-is-a-disaster-for-republicans/

What do you think about the Senate?

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

e: And before anyone entertains the "we were headed for a red wave before Dobbs" narrative, there is absolutely no evidence for that. Dobbs allowed Democrats to overperform even more, but it was not the difference between a red wave and a blue ripple.

I'm sure R +6-7 on the generic ballot like in 2010 is considered a red wave. Republican Senate candidates probably would've performed even more than 3-4 points better, probably finishing with 53 seats, because it seems like they were disproportionately punished (since the Senate confirms Supreme Court Justices)

I think you overexaggerate how bad 2022 was. It was a blue ripple in the Senate, but a red ripple in the House. This is consistent with the fact that we would've had a red wave without Dobbs, and Republican Senate candidates were punished more.

You two lol. I’m about to grab some popcorn and watch this play out! /s

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

The cope in this thread is lol, it reminds me of Nc Senate 2020. This will obviously hurt democrats.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

My guess is that it hurts for the same reason it hurt Katie Hill in 2019, which is that it makes her look unprofessional.

What? The problem with Katie Hill was that she was involved with a subordinate. Not the same thing at all.

You assume the voters see things the way you do and are able to carefully think through situations.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

https://twitter.com/RRHElections/status/1704918721976844675?s=20

What’s the republican equivalent of the VA Dems lol?

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

The cope is getting more laughable by the minute. Owen is basically guaranteed to win at this point

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Northam never should've considered resigning. Who cares if he wore an offensive costume 40 years ago? I'm so glad that, whatever the reasoning was, he didn't end up getting forced out of the job.

Because it makes us look like holier than thou hypocrites?