NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT)

[Dr. Arch]

Is the NYT page up yet?

DDHQ is up: https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/2020/primary/nevada/president

[Dr. Arch]

CNN saying the Biden campaign is hoping for a first/second place position. This is only the most recent failure of expectation setting from the Biden campaign, something that his campaign has failed at consistently.

Umm... lol

[Dr. Arch]

Bernie wins random precinct in a landslide:

https://twitter.com/MayhewMayhem/status/1231303250063675392

That's a 75% of however much that precinct allocates.

[Dr. Arch]

Bernie might just end up hitting >60% at this point. Absolute landslide.

[Dr. Arch]

I honestly don't see what makes Nevada so important. And I don't see how Sanders winning Nevada makes him the frontrunner or inevitable nominee. I'm calling out both Sanders supporters and the MSM right now.

What makes any state important before Super Tuesday?

Momentum and the rally effect

[Dr. Arch]

Joe just might dip under 15% statewide, which means he won't be viable for any statewide delegates.

[Dr. Arch]

I'm surprised Chris Matthews doesn't like Sanders.

Sanders is coming down to earth. Under 35% in the first round and at 42% in the final round now. So much for the "60%".

Where are you getting those results from?

[Dr. Arch]

I'm surprised Chris Matthews doesn't like Sanders.

Sanders is coming down to earth. Under 35% in the first round and at 42% in the final round now. So much for the "60%".

Where are you getting those results from?

https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/state/nevada

Also, here's a thread of anecdotal but interesting reports of a Warren surge on the election day vs early vote:

https://twitter.com/TheStagmania/status/1231322621867954177

How is he "coming down" when you're comparing 10% in vs 1% final? That's about where he started too.

Let's let the thing run its course.

[Dr. Arch]

With this kind of performance, we can assume (with relative confidence) that Bernie is set to do really well in Texas, California, Arizona, Oregon, and Washington, alongside the NE, and most of the Midwest, while cutting significantly enough into the South to cancel out whatever Biden/Steyer/Bloomberg would take.

The race seems to be narrowing out fairly quickly.

[Dr. Arch]

While I'm still supporting Pete of course over the next weeks (he's the solid choice against Trump in the GE), I'm getting more and more accustomed to nominee Bernie each day.



Maybe he can build a movement that is necessary to defeat Trump in November, even though I still have a lot of doubts (could be a 2004-style Kerry loss, or a 2012-style Romney one).

[Dr. Arch]

Final turnout was 105K, not bad IMO, especially when compared to turnout in 2016.