Kentucky 2023 gubernatorial election megathread

[Young Conservative]

This race has tightened in recent weeks. In 2019, Beshear had some late momentum and in the polling average, Bevin pretty consistently remained below 50.

In the last two weeks, Cameron has definitely climbed-- and it's kentucky. That D4P poll for him was...not good given he only had a +7 approval in a poll with Trump only up by 9-- and it barely had beshear at 50.

Incumbents below 50? Not Good.

What's interesting is that Beshear has been right around 50...hard to tell if he's there. Momentum for Cameron could be too late.

BUT.

This is a lot closer to 50-50 than the conventional wisdom and betting markets are suggesting IMO.

It's Kentucky...and ET is acting like it's North Carolina tbh.

Gonna be a squeaker either way IMO. But I do think it's gone from a strong Lean D to a Tossup/Tilt D just in the last two weeks.