MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread (user search)
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  MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Rate this race
#1
Safe D
 
#2
Likely D
 
#3
Lean D
 
#4
Tilt D
 
#5
Tossup
 
#6
Tilt R
 
#7
Lean R
 
#8
Likely R
 
#9
Safe R
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 284

Author Topic: MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread  (Read 132847 times)
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,565
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« on: April 09, 2017, 06:11:27 PM »

If Dems hold all Senate seats and take AZ and NV, how bad does that signal it is for the GOP? That they're losing 30-40 seats in the House and Trump's approval rating is in the 30s?

If that happens I'd expect Democrats to win the House, although it might be narrow.

Democrats can take back the House while still losing multiple Senate seats. Most of their potential House pickups aren't in states with vulnerable Democratic senators, and even in a wave, Heitkamp, McCaskill, and Donnelly are in trouble.

On a side note, I'm not sure there's ever been an instance of a party taking back one of the chambers while losing seats in the other.
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heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,565
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #1 on: May 14, 2017, 06:34:22 PM »

Her 2012 campaign was a work of genius, so I respect her for that.

I also have to laugh at TN Vol's continuing crusade against her because apparently she's some sort of misandrist lol.
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heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,565
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #2 on: July 02, 2017, 06:21:51 PM »

C'mon Austin!

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heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,565
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #3 on: July 03, 2017, 10:34:59 AM »

Another major recruitment fail. And MT Treasurer laughed when I said it was a bad sign Fox wasn't going to run against Tester. I wonder who the next big name to pass will be.

Eh, it's not like Hawley isn't still a formidable candidate albeit slightly weaker. But seeing big name Pubs like Duffy in WI, Fox in MT, Meehan in PA, and now Wagner in MO bow out might be an omen.

As for this race, it's becoming increasingly obvious that McCaskill needs to put her electioneering skills to work again and face Austin Petersen in the general.
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heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,565
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #4 on: July 16, 2017, 07:48:46 PM »
« Edited: July 16, 2017, 07:52:00 PM by heatcharger »

Oh yay, another McCaskill thread.

She excites the Democratic and SJW base as well as liberal Atlas posters, she's about as moderate as Elizabeth Warren.

This is really, really dumb. There are political issues other than muh SJWs, and McCaskill and Warren are very far apart on those.
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heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,565
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #5 on: July 16, 2017, 10:03:19 PM »

Oh yay, another McCaskill thread.

She excites the Democratic and SJW base as well as liberal Atlas posters, she's about as moderate as Elizabeth Warren.

This is really, really dumb. There are political issues other than muh SJWs, and McCaskill and Warren are very far apart on those.

I believe her voting record speaks for itself, so let's just agree to disagree. McCaskill is way to the left of her state, but then again MO almost voted for Kander, so who knows. If they keep reelecting her, they have no right to complain anyway. And I'll certainly admit that she represents her party very well.

That has nothing to do with the ridiculous implicit claim that McCaskill and Warren are the same politically. McCaskill is notably to the right of Warren on healthcare, the single biggest issue in Congress right now, and she's also much more of a hawk than Warren is. Those are tangible issues that they do not share the same view on, so no, I'm not gonna agree to disagree.
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heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,565
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #6 on: August 02, 2017, 05:05:30 PM »

News flash: he's definitely underwater in MO rn

Nope. Gallup had him at 49/46 in Missouri, although that was from January-June. He could be underwater in Missouri on Election Day, but I doubt it.
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heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,565
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #7 on: August 02, 2017, 05:11:21 PM »
« Edited: August 02, 2017, 05:12:55 PM by heatcharger »

News flash: he's definitely underwater in MO rn

Nope. Gallup had him at 49/46 in Missouri, although that was from January-June. He could be underwater in Missouri on Election Day, but I doubt it.

See above. He's cratered since then

Is he gonna be as bad as Bush's 45/53 in Missouri in 2006? I highly doubt it. The only way McCaskill can win is by pulling off some epic trickery again or some kind of mass effort to keep Republicans home on Election Day.
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