Trump approval ratings thread 1.5

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Isn't YouGov basically poo?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

It would be nice if the media didn't praise every little thing the little fascist did. The local news is full of nothing but praise for the Great Leader. One of the local news sites even ran an article written by the local electric monopoly praising Trump's tax "cut." And no, it wasn't labeled as an op-ed.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1126169453497061377

The real surprise is that there were any Obama-Trump voters. What exactly were the Republicans doing to generate new support?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

PPP, May 1, 658 RV (prior poll March 27-28)

Approve 41 (-1)
Disapprove 56 (+4)

Well, bust goes the gigantic Donald Trump bubble that was bobbing along the American skyline.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

With the Mueller investigation losing it's heat and the economy continuing to be good, it's likely that Trump's numbers will continue to rise the next few months.

Haha. No.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

"It's the economy, stupid" applies to a President bumbling with the economy.

That's why it applies to Trump.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Presented without comment:

Zogby, May 2-9, 852 LV

Approve 51
Disapprove 48

Poor Zogby.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Morning Consult/Politico, May 10-12, 1995 RV (1-week change)

Approve 41 (-2)
Disapprove 56 (+5)

Strongly approve 22 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 43 (+3)

Vote to reelect Trump?

Definitely Trump 27 (nc)
Probably Trump 10 (nc)
Probably someone else 7 (nc)
Definitely someone else 48 (+2)

GCB (no prior): D 43, R 37

And just like that, bust goes the Zogby bubble, all over Trump's stupid face.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Of course, The Hill keeps bragging that Trump has his best approvals in 2 years.

The Hill is a joke.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

The Republicans have no chance of retaking the House.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

CNN Poll: Rising share expect Trump to win in 2020

A majority of voters (55%) think President Donald Trump will win a second term. Back in December, only 44% of voters believed he would win a second term.

It’s an interesting turnaround to be sure, but, while this measure is fun to look at, it hasn’t been particularly telling. 

Back in 1991, George H.W. Bush was basically a shoo-in for re-election in 1992, if you believed Americans. When asked by the Pew Research Center who was most likely to win the next presidential election, Bush or his Democratic opponent, 76% of Americans said Bush. Bush, of course, went on to lose that election to Democrat Bill Clinton.

Americans got it wrong four years later, too. In 1995, just 24% of Americans told the CNN/Time poll that they thought Clinton would be re-elected. Clinton would end up winning rather easily.

Still, George W. Bush and Barack Obama were favored to win a year out from their re-election bids: Bush, with 63% of Americans thinking he would win, and Obama, at 50%.

https://www.cnn.com/2019/06/05/politics/cnn-poll-trump-prediction-economy-issues/index.html

Well into 1992, the media was engaged in a 3-year-long coronation ceremony for Bush's second term.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

How much will his numbers drop because of the Iran stuff?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Suffolk: Approve 49, Disapprove 48

https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/national/2019/6_19_2019_marginals_pdftxt.pdf

538 isn't seriously gonna use this, are they?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

They refuse to strike Rasmussen from their lists soooo ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Hahaha, get a load of this, everyone! 538 actually gives this poll more weight than any other recent poll, even though there's a bunch of other polls that are newer and use a bigger sample size!

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Nobody except the media buys his Iran lies.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

The poll has a D+6 sample, electorate in both 2016 and 2018 was D+4 according to exit polls, so this ABC poll is bit dem heavy in terms of sample.

Haha, no.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

The simple fact is that more Americans identify as Democrats than Republicans.  This has been true for some time now.

When was the last time it wasn't true? I'm almost 46, and I don't remember it ever being any other way.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

So his approvals went up after his latest idiotic racism and Epstein scandals?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Gravis is not nonpartisan, incidentally.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Aug. 3-6, 1500 adults including 1161 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (nc)
Disapprove 49 (-3)

Strongly approve 26 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-2)

Generic D 41 (-1), Trump 36 (+3)

RV:

Approve 44 (+1)
Disapprove 52 (-3)

Strongly approve 30 (+3)
Strongly disapprove 44 (-2)

Generic D 48 (-2), Trump 39 (+1)

GCB (RV only): D 48 (nc), R 38 (+1)

He actually improved after 3 very recent mass shootings by his supporters?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

I almost didn't post this one, but figured we could use some comedy relief...

Zogby, Aug. 9-12, 897 "likely voters"

Approve 51
Disapprove 47

Strongly approve 27
Strongly disapprove 37

Some tidbits:

Besides a good economy, Trump's good approval rating is being driven by a surge in popularity among voters living in the South and Central regions, Independents, Millennials, suburban men, urban men, and older voters. Trump's approval rating has improved with minorities-28% of African Americans and 49% of Hispanics at least somewhat approve of the president-both very good numbers, historically, for Trump.

Trump has recently seen a spike in support among large and small city voters-more than half of each group approves of the president. Trump is also polling well among urban women, but has seen his support from suburban women take a beating. It will be interesting to see if the rise in support among urban women can blunt the decreased support among women in the suburbs.

And I bet 538 laps it right up.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

I don't know why people needed to wait for news about the recession, because WE'VE BEEN LIVING IT FOR THE PAST 2 YEARS!!!

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Unfortunately "as long as it's not going to affect me personally, it doesn't exist" has always been most Americans' mindset. Once more people start realizing that they, too, might actually be affected by what's already affecting tens of millions of others, is the only time they wake up to it.

I think the situation now is sort of the opposite. It's affecting people, but they won't admit it unless a news outlet verifies it.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

I remember seeing a survey not too long ago that said most people support increasing disability benefits.

All this crap about people malingering so they could collect disability is just that: crap. I don't know anyone who does this. And that's in a state with a high rate of people collecting disability.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

These days, it's extremely difficult to qualify for disability.