2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 630914 times)
Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« on: November 03, 2020, 03:04:36 PM »
We don't know how independents will split or how many crossover R/D voters there will be, so I'm trying not to read anything into these numbers.
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 03:07:19 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 03, 2020, 03:05:18 PM
Quote from: Statilius the Epicurean on November 03, 2020, 03:04:36 PM
We don't know how independents will split or how many crossover R/D voters there will be, so I'm trying not to read anything into these numbers.

No, but we can make some educated guesses based on polling.

I suppose, but the polling subsamples we're talking about have high MOE so it's difficult. The difference between say Biden in FL winning 11% of Rs vs 9% of Rs could be the state.
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2020, 03:28:09 PM »
Lots of posts about turnout in D areas. Any numbers of election day turnout in rural R counties? 
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 04:03:12 PM »
Quote from: Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same on November 03, 2020, 03:57:40 PM


Just tell us. F***k you.
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2020, 04:13:40 PM »
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 04:22:46 PM »
Quote from: randomusername on November 03, 2020, 04:20:18 PM


This is the least likely thing I have ever heard.
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2020, 05:48:46 PM »
Quote from: 7sergi9 on November 03, 2020, 05:46:41 PM
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2020, 06:00:03 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on November 03, 2020, 05:54:53 PM


F***k, and I cannot stress this enough, Florida.
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2020, 06:04:05 PM »
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2020, 06:23:43 PM »
Yeah I was reading all of last week not to make assumptions about partial county/precinct data as it won't be told what % counted is early vs on the day voting.
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2020, 06:39:44 PM »
Yawn. Tell me when the first county is 100% in.
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2020, 07:13:19 PM »
Quote from: philly09 on November 03, 2020, 07:11:49 PM


People should stop saying "as many votes as 2016 in x" because turnout is up across the board from both sides on 2016.

Biden could beat Clinton in these states and still be cancelled out by an increase in rural turnout...
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2020, 07:20:43 PM »
Miami-Dade swinging towards Trump because of Cubans is about what I expected? Should be balanced out by a Biden swing in white suburbs upstate.
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2020, 07:23:28 PM »
John King on CNN just said it's mostly election day vote in Miami-Dade and early voting is to be counted.
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2020, 07:32:19 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 03, 2020, 07:31:07 PM
WV too early to call???

My god, Biden is making HUGE gains with white voters, clearly.

Or they're being especially conservative in their calls this year because of mail voting.
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2020, 07:47:57 PM »
Seems like Biden gains in the FL suburbs aren't nearly enough.
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2020, 07:57:31 PM »
Wolf Blitzer is a ing idiot
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2020, 08:10:33 PM »
Looks like there hasn't been as great a suburban swing towards Biden as Democrats hoped.
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2020, 08:26:15 PM »
Quote from: Young Conservative on November 03, 2020, 08:25:40 PM
is this a re-realignment election lol?

the blue wall returns but so does the red wall?

Racial depolarisation.
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #19 on: November 03, 2020, 08:41:17 PM »
TRENDSAREREAL
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2020, 08:43:57 PM »
Quote from: GoTfan on November 03, 2020, 08:43:11 PM

He never had a chance there, if we're being realistic.

Looks like it might be around Beto numbers?
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #21 on: November 03, 2020, 09:18:17 PM »
Ohio looks like it will be within a few points. That tells me that Biden has won the Presidency...
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #22 on: November 03, 2020, 09:43:54 PM »
CNN saying 41% of the vote in OH is early vote right now, and they expect it to be 53%
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #23 on: November 03, 2020, 10:07:58 PM »

Dems right now probably need a win in MT to take the Senate.
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Statilius the Epicurean
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #24 on: November 03, 2020, 10:18:34 PM »
Biden's probably going to win but it will be such an anaemic victory, sigh.
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