AZ-SEN Class 1: Kelli or not-Kelli?

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Arpaio fears his pardon will exacerbate the AZ GOP civil war.

Oh, I just feel terrible now.

I cant even believe this. Republicans are doing everything they can to gift us a Senate seat. It's unreal. If they screw up Alabama as well, we could have both Houses of Congress back in 2019. That's amazing.

Meh, even with Alabama, Nevada, and Arizona, you still have to get Claire McCaskill reelected (which is nearly impossible), unless there's a three way race in Utah. Of course, holding republicans to a 50-50 "Collins Majority" would also count as an excellent result given the map.

Maybe we can force Collins to let us know how she really feels.

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Sorry for asking such an #analysis-sounding question, but will Sinema's far-left past be a problem? Was it a problem in 2012 when she won her House seat?

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Arizona is not Alabama. You don't need a massive Republican dropoff to elect Sinema.

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So this got set up: http://ultraconservativemcsally.com

"Paid for By Ann Kirkpatrick For Congress"

You can tell this is an attempt to make her appear too conservative for her district. Sinema would never play this card. Sinema would likely play a "too establishment puppet" like card.

It would almost work as a McCaskill gambit, except McSally, while indeed very conservative, is not the most conservative candidate in the primary.

But yes. It's a House race thing.

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It would be hilarious to see McSally go down in flames like this, but I have a feeling she'll see the writing on the wall and decide not to run. Unless she's sick of the House (and constant re-election campaigns) and wants to try something new at all costs.