Kansas Megathread: Kobach and Kelly and Orman, Oh My!

[Sir Mohamed]

A slim chance remaining Colyer wins the primary? Trump is not too popular in KS and Colyer is still an incumbent more likely to keep the seat in Nov.

I'm not sure what's better? Take the risk to end up with Kobach but increase Dem chances, or write the state off and give it to Colyer, who is still strong right-wing, but somehow turned into the mainstream candidate because of the alternative.

[Sir Mohamed]

A slim chance remaining Colyer wins the primary? Trump is not too popular in KS and Colyer is still an incumbent more likely to keep the seat in Nov.

I'm not sure what's better? Take the risk to end up with Kobach but increase Dem chances, or write the state off and give it to Colyer, who is still strong right-wing, but somehow turned into the mainstream candidate because of the alternative.

Colyer still has a slight chance of winning today, though it would be a surprise. If I were a Democrat I'd be rooting for Colyer, Kobach isn't as strong for November, but he still has a very good chance of winning because of Orman. I know a handful of Democrats who are registered GOP, will vote Democratic in November, but are voting for Colyer today.

I don't follow your logic.  Isn't Orman going to be there in November regardless of who the Republicans nominate?  Therefore the Democrats should want the weakest possible R.

He is supposed to take more Dem votes away. That means Kobach could win with 45% of the vote.

[Sir Mohamed]

A slim chance remaining Colyer wins the primary? Trump is not too popular in KS and Colyer is still an incumbent more likely to keep the seat in Nov.

I'm not sure what's better? Take the risk to end up with Kobach but increase Dem chances, or write the state off and give it to Colyer, who is still strong right-wing, but somehow turned into the mainstream candidate because of the alternative.

Colyer still has a slight chance of winning today, though it would be a surprise. If I were a Democrat I'd be rooting for Colyer, Kobach isn't as strong for November, but he still has a very good chance of winning because of Orman. I know a handful of Democrats who are registered GOP, will vote Democratic in November, but are voting for Colyer today.

I don't follow your logic.  Isn't Orman going to be there in November regardless of who the Republicans nominate?  Therefore the Democrats should want the weakest possible R.

He is supposed to take more Dem votes away. That means Kobach could win with 45% of the vote.

OK, that makes sense.  Thanks.

At least Atlas told me that, I didn't even know Orman before this race. I followed politics in 2014 already, but the KS-Sen race was under my radar. In the past, he was registered as a Dem and GOPer. But that he takes more votes away from Dems makes sense if he is somewhat of a moderate.

[Sir Mohamed]

If the results stay the way they are at this moment, wouldn't this cause an automatic recount on the GOP side?

[Sir Mohamed]

683 votes difference, wow. I'll laugh my *** off if Kobach wins by 537.

[Sir Mohamed]

683 votes difference, wow. I'll laugh my *** off if Kobach wins by 537.

Kris Kobach hates us and if he had it his way we would be registered on a national registry like the jewish people before and during WW2 under Hitler. Even the two republican muslims I know would vote for the democrat over him.

I hope Colyer wins the primary and loses the general. This was just a reference to the "official" 537 votes that gave us W.

[Sir Mohamed]

Kobach's lead slightly down to 533 votes or 0.2%. 93% reporting.

[Sir Mohamed]

So does Colyer win relatively easily without the god emperor's endorsement?

He's down at this point?

I wonder whether there will be a recount?

[Sir Mohamed]

What the heck? 191 votes? Someone tell me again every vote doesn't count.

If there is a recount, who will most likely benefit?

[Sir Mohamed]

What the heck? 191 votes? Someone tell me again every vote doesn't count.

If there is a recount, who will most likely benefit?

There were over 6000 provisional votes, I'm not sure who that will benefit.


Basically this is what happened last night: Colyer outperformed Early Vote and overall just exceeded expectations, leading many to believe that he would pull it out...only for him to under-perform on JoCo Election Day vote. He won early vote in JoCo by 14 points but appears to only have won ED vote by 1-2 points. Even a small boost to that margin and he'd be claiming victory right now.

JoCo had a lot of irregularities and I'm hopeful that any recount there will benefit Colyer since his margin was surprisingly small. No one is going to request  recount, though, until all provisional ballots are in. That won't be under Friday at the earliest, most likely Monday.

Thanks for clearing! We'll see what happens.

[Sir Mohamed]

Wow, this is good for Kelly, though I expect the GOP candidate to pull this race out with a plurality in November.

I'm for Kobach and Colyer both running on two tickets in the GE

[Sir Mohamed]

http://www.wibw.com/content/news/Colyers-campaign-chairman-now-backing-Orman-491799071.html

Colyer's campaign chairman endorsed Orman today. Interesting.

Good. Let the clowns split the Republican vote instead of the Democratic vote.

Fantastic news. Mr. Colyer, please do likewise.

[Sir Mohamed]

So that Orman dropping out thing was a complete hoax?

My question, too. Looks like this wasn't a real thing. Sad!