GA-SEN 2020 Class III Megathread: She Who Loeffs Last (user search)
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  GA-SEN 2020 Class III Megathread: She Who Loeffs Last (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Who will Brian Kemp appoint as Johnny Isakson’s successor?
#1
Nathan Deal
 
#2
Casey Cagle
 
#3
Geoff Duncan
 
#4
Brad Raffensperger
 
#5
Chris Carr
 
#6
Karen Handel
 
#7
Rob Woodall
 
#8
Doug Collins
 
#9
Austin Scott
 
#10
Drew Ferguson
 
#11
Nick Ayers
 
#12
Buddy Carter
 
#13
Barry Loudermilk
 
#14
Tom Price
 
#15
Newt Gingrich
 
#16
Jody Hice
 
#17
Saxby Chambliss
 
#18
Hunter Hill
 
#19
Rick Allen
 
#20
Brian Kemp
 
#21
Tom Graves
 
#22
Other
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 117

Author Topic: GA-SEN 2020 Class III Megathread: She Who Loeffs Last  (Read 82426 times)
Nyvin
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,693
United States


« on: September 19, 2019, 10:03:12 PM »

If this hasn't been posted already, McBath is not running for Isakson's seat: https://www.ajc.com/news/state--regional-govt--politics/lucy-mcbath-passes-johnny-isakson-senate-seat/wCEGrWiW3oFxXSnSehrb6I/. I assume she realized that it would be better for her to win reelection to her current seat, than to pursue a Senate bid in which she would be the underdog. As I've said before, if Perdue wins reelection (and I believe that he will), then Republicans will win the open Senate seat as well. And without the Georgia seats, and without Maine (where I think Collins is the favorite, and will win reelection by a Manchin-esque margin), Democrats will not take back the Senate next year.

That’s nice, Mr. Oracle, but the playing field a year out from the election never looks the same as it does on Election Day. In September 2015, Ohio and Florida were supposed to be the big Semate races of 2016 while Missouri was completely ignored. Or in 2017, AL was on no one’s radar, and neither was TX (at least by anyone serious) and TN while WV was supposedly pretty safe for Democrats

Of course, I'm not discounting the possibility that one or both Georgia Senate seats could go Democratic in 2020. However, I only see that happening if Trump is losing by a 2008-esque or more margin-and we have no guarantee of that, given how polarized this country has become. And mind you that Georgia did not flip in 2018, a Democratic "wave" environment. Democrats are continuing to struggle to find that last 2% which they will need for victory.

At any rate, McBath staying out of the race should still tell us something.

"Continuing to struggle to find that last 2%"...?   So in a state that grew by 106k from 2017 to 2018, you think it's not possible to get 54k more votes?

Also,  wtf is "Continuing"?   The 2018 Gov election was the closest election in Georgia in more than a decade.   It was only last year.   There literally is no "continuing".    The close elections are here and now.
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