2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[SunSt0rm]

https://mobile.twitter.com/redistrict/status/1323730327458795529?s=21

He is obviously trolling

[SunSt0rm]

Some votes in rural Indiana is coming.

In Greene County its 68-29 for Trump now (in 2016 it was 74-21)

[SunSt0rm]

Biden +13 Virginia, Biden +1 Georgia according to Exit Polls

[SunSt0rm]

Not fantastic results in Florida, but also not bad. It will be tight

[SunSt0rm]

Just a reminder:

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1323738622923853825

Trump at 66.41% on the early vote here.

So borderline probably good for Biden or Florida being Florida

[SunSt0rm]

Yikes, Miami doesnt look good

54-45

[SunSt0rm]

Yikes, Miami doesnt look good

54-45

This is what I've been waiting on. Do you mean Miami-Dade County? What percentage of the vote is in please?

Miami-Dade. 80% in

[SunSt0rm]

I am really wondering now, if Sanders were the candidate whether Trump would have won Miami-Dade

[SunSt0rm]

I am really wondering now, if Sanders were the candidate whether Trump would have won Miami-Dade

Lmao.

The margin has even tighten in Miami

[SunSt0rm]

Biden winning Alleghany county 80-19 with probably early voting

[SunSt0rm]

This is definitely going down to PA, isn’t it?

Wait for NC and Arizona

[SunSt0rm]

Its not only Cuban, but Biden has a Hispanic problem

Hispanic voters per early 2020 exit polls:

Florida:
2016: Clinton +27
2020: Biden +8

Georgia:
2016: Clinton +40
2020: Biden +25

Ohio:
2016: Clinton +41
2020: Biden +24

Source: CNN

[SunSt0rm]

Whats happening in Michigan now? How can Biden lose Oakland county?

[SunSt0rm]

Dont know what happened in Georgia, but needle has gone to Biden now, but only slightly

[SunSt0rm]

NE-2 is looking very promising. Its now 2/3 of WI/PA/MI or even 1/3 if Biden manages to squeeze out Georgia

[SunSt0rm]

Biden is only leading by 9k in Nevada now

[SunSt0rm]

I don't think Michigan will be super close, but that Biden will take it with a couple of points

[SunSt0rm]

So far, in what states did Trump win by a bigger margin than he did in 2016 (Or lose by a smaller margin)? Is it just Florida?

Also Indiana I remember, but count hasn't finished yet

[SunSt0rm]

There seems to be a worrying amount of confusion with Arizona; some saying that because it's EV that was returned the day before or on election day it could skewer Trump but equally some people are saying that it's fine because the most of it is maricopa county.

After I've stopped worrying about Michigan can somone reassure me Arizona isn't going to f*** us from behind?

For now, neither AP or Fox have walked back their calls.

Also a bit reliefing is that CBS has charaterize it from too close to call to likely Biden

[SunSt0rm]

So if Fox News calls Michigan for Biden, they have to declare him the winner of the presidency, right?  Before every other network!  I wish I knew when the next big MI vote dump was coming so I could tune in for that moment.

They havent called Nevada, so Biden will be short of 270 with Michigan

[SunSt0rm]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1324353932022480896?s=19

He knows he lost when they stop the count in Arizona and Nevada

But very dangerous this

[SunSt0rm]

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1324397896674914310

[SunSt0rm]

Trump's lead in GA is now +3,635. Clayton, Gwinnett, Forsyth left to go.

Forsyth just reported and Biden netted 159 votes. Trump's lead is now +3,486. Clayton, Gwinnett plus a few hundred left in Cobb to go.

Biden needs about 62% of the mail in votes from these counties to take the lead. He almost certainly will get that given Clayton is a huge chunk of the remaining vote.

Is there anything outside of this like provisionals and last minute mail ins?

Apparantly military and oversea votes

[SunSt0rm]

https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1324710866516905984