2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[jd7171]

Per CNN, southeastern PA is looking really bad for Trump while the southwest is on par with 2016.

Well I’m sure Alleghany is looking like a disaster for Trump.

They said Pittsburgh area, which is more than just Allegheny. I have no doubt that Biden will improve over Hillary in Allegheny.

I'm very curious what the margin in Westmoreland ends up looking like. Obviously no way Biden wins there, but I do think he could get over 40% of the vote on a good night.

I feel that's the key for him in SW PA...just reduce the margins by a decent amount. Don't lose counties by about 40 points like Clinton did.

[jd7171]

Per CNN, southeastern PA is looking really bad for Trump while the southwest is on par with 2016.

Well I’m sure Alleghany is looking like a disaster for Trump.

They said Pittsburgh area, which is more than just Allegheny. I have no doubt that Biden will improve over Hillary in Allegheny.

I'm very curious what the margin in Westmoreland ends up looking like. Obviously no way Biden wins there, but I do think he could get over 40% of the vote on a good night.

I feel that's the key for him in SW PA...just reduce the margins by a decent amount. Don't lose counties by about 40 points like Clinton did.

Yup.  It's a bit like in the solid states: you don't even need to get close -- any movement in your favor is beneficial.

Exactly. I live in Cambria County which used to vote Dem, but Clinton only got 29 percent, just horrible. If Biden can get around 35 percent it'll help.

[jd7171]

Not sure what places like Erie, Lehigh, etc. in PA are doing. They haven't really reported any new mail ins in a while.

Erie had a small dump on NYT, Trump lead down from 5 to 3.5 give or take.

[jd7171]

Not sure what places like Erie, Lehigh, etc. in PA are doing. They haven't really reported any new mail ins in a while.

Erie had a small dump on NYT, Trump lead down from 5 to 3.5 give or take.

On TV yesterday someone quoted a source close to the vote count as saying that in Erie the mail in ballots being counted are going approximately 4-1 for Biden.

I saw that it was CNN, I believe. The biggest thing people are missing is that a lot of the remaining votes even in rural areas are Mail in ballots. These should break for Biden overwhelmingly. Not to say that Philly and Pittsburgh don't count.

[jd7171]

Trumps lead in PA down to 1.7....drop from from Armstrong and Mercer counties.

[jd7171]

Leigh county just flipped in PA

[jd7171]

Cumberland County dumped....Biden only lost here by 10. Pretty impressive.

[jd7171]

I'm extremely excited and relieved that Biden won. Time for some normalcy again.