If Valadao couldn't win in 2018 as an incumbent with lower Hispanic turnout, he's not winning now. Cox has this.
^Hmm, he never learns, huh? Not a good look...
That said, I don’t think bumping countless threads to rub it in people's face accomplishes much at this point. Yes, those of you who predicted that Valadao would win/still had a good chance of winning were right, but if you’re being honest with yourselves, you had little other than ‘gut feeling’ or a ‘hunch’ to go by. It would be more understandable if you were criticizing people for blatantly disregarding every single indicator (partisan lean, recent election results, polling biases in this district in previous elections, etc.) and deliberately ignoring the big picture OR if this was a district/state notorious for pre-election polling overstating Democratic strength, but none of that was true in this case. It’s fair to ‘call out’ this forum for being a Democratic echo chamber, but I don’t think the Atlas consensus with regard to particular race really helps you make your point, to say nothing of the fact that it gets pretty old after 100+ bumps.
Poll
