Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[Duke of York]

https://twitter.com/L2political/status/1717932899880546788

Correct me if I'm wrong, but those numbers don't look great for Democrats...

You never think anything is good news or good numbers for Democrats. What's your basis for this statement?

[Duke of York]

https://twitter.com/L2political/status/1717932899880546788

Correct me if I'm wrong, but those numbers don't look great for Democrats...

You never think anything is good news or good numbers for Democrats. What's your basis for this statement?

The AA and 18-29 percentages look lower than what Democrats would like.

as I said before you never think anything is positive for Democrats.

[Duke of York]

https://twitter.com/L2political/status/1719069212453536021

remarkably consistent. i wish the 18-29 vote was higher though.

[Duke of York]

https://twitter.com/L2political/status/1719069212453536021

Things are holding at D+25, which is probably pretty good if you consider that there are a lot of non contested races in the DC area.

I hate when someone runs unopposed in a general election.

[Duke of York]

Watch out for disastrously low turnout in Charlottesville, Blacksburg and Williamsburg. This’ll only cost Democrats about 1 state house seat and 1 state senate seat though.

On what basis do you make this pronouncement?

[Duke of York]

https://twitter.com/lukerosiak/status/1723483423535157476

A special election will be held in she's deemed ineligible. Where does the Republican get off claiming I get the seat by default? So far no one by Daily Wire has said anything about this.

[Duke of York]

https://twitter.com/lukerosiak/status/1723483423535157476

A special election will be held in she's deemed ineligible. Where does the Republican get off claiming I get the seat by default?

Biden +32.

Ok and a special election will be held. The Republican doesn't get the seat by default.

[Duke of York]

Also a 20D-19R Senate doesn't mean Democrats "lose control" of it.

How is it 20-19? Im confused. The Republican isn't getting the seat by default and no court is going to rule that way.

Also Daily Wire is not a very good source.

[Duke of York]

https://x.com/lukerosiak/status/1723483423535157476

"Could Lose Control of 21-19 Senate"

Hashmi won her election against Republican Hayden Fisher last Tuesday with 62% of the vote. Fisher told The Daily Wire, "I plan to stop them from certifying the election. She's disqualified, that means I ran unopposed as a matter of law."

[...]

Fisher, a lawyer, said Hashmi's votes must be declared null and void, and therefore the election goes to the second-place candidate — him. Holding a new election would not be appropriate because it would not punish the conduct, he said, and because of Democrats' new law requiring 45 days of early voting, it would be enormously expensive to taxpayers and candidates, and leave residents of the district without a senator for months.

"Should the commonwealth have to pay for a special election because the Democrats' candidate was dishonest?" he asked.

"Holding a new election would be inappropriate because of the law requiring voting" is a conclusion so bonkers that it only makes sense it was published by a Ben Shapiro outfit. The Daily Wire just takes the loser at his word here that the proper procedure is for the ineligible votes to be declared null-&-void & for the runner-up to be certified as the winner by-default.

Meanwhile, the actual relevant Virginia state law:

When a vacancy occurs in the membership of the General Assembly during the recess of the General Assembly or when a member-elect to the next General Assembly dies, resigns, or becomes legally incapacitated to hold office prior to its meeting, the Governor shall issue a writ of election to fill the vacancy.

Also a 20D-19R Senate doesn't mean Democrats "lose control" of it.

How is it 20-19? Im confused. The Republican isn't getting the seat by default and no court is going to rule that way.

The losing Republican is claiming it's 20-20 if she's ineligible but if she's actually ineligible, it's 20-19 pending a special.

Therefore his claim of I should get the seat by default is absurd as Virginia law is crystal clear and a exception won't be made for him.

[Duke of York]

This whole thing is very coordinated and elaborate, they even got her neighbors to spy on her and file the suit. Makes me think this was a serious backup plan for Republicans, but the remedy their asking for is a serious hail mary.

It’s not even a Hail Mary. No judge will go for it.

[Duke of York]

Thus far no news outlet other than Daily Wire who’s not a good source has reported on this.

[Duke of York]

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1723557786854863319

why would they be DQ'd as well?

[Duke of York]

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1723557786854863319

why would they be DQ'd as well?

Their districts aren't their main residences, so if she doesn't meet the standard of residing in her district, then neither do they.

Yet another reason why no judge will go for their insane argument because they'd have to apply that standard to other members as well.

[Duke of York]

Literally why would anyone give a DailyWire article the time of day is beyond me.

yes. Still nothing from any other news outlet not even ones in Virginia.

[Duke of York]

https://twitter.com/BruneElections/status/1724202870851903653

great but what is there source for this?

If true it means there is zero shift in support for young voters to Republicans.

[Duke of York]

https://twitter.com/BruneElections/status/1724202870851903653

Even SVU? Have a hard time believing that one.

agreed. Id like a source for this claim.

[Duke of York]

https://wjla.com/amp/news/local/virginia-general-election-2023-bob-anderson-unofficial-winner-loudoun-county-commonwealths-attorney-race-voters-close-to-call-provisional-ballots

With all votes counted, Anderson leads by 300 votes. No word yet from Biberaj on whether she will concede or seek a recount (as is her right under VA law since the margin is within 1%). Regardless, I don't see how a recount could close a gap of this size.

The current results are also unofficial, since the certification process has not yet taken place.

Rs did well in local races across the country. Loudoun (I think they did well in the other races there too), holding Ds to 75-25 in Philadelphia, nearly flipping Allegheny Executive, flipping Manchester Mayor, etc.

I would not call that doing well. Loudoun is still in transition, Philadelphia was an open seat and neither candidate did much campaigning, nearly flipping means nothing and she also wasn't the best candidate, and Manchester mayor is non partisan and was one of the only flips.

[Duke of York]

https://www.wvtf.org/news/2023-11-17/residents-challenge-chesterfield-county-senators-residency

Residents challenge Chesterfield County Senator's residency

Don't think Senator Hashmi will be disqualified but this is from Virginia Public Radio a reliable source unlike Daily Wire