Is the Blue Wave dead? (user search)
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  Is the Blue Wave dead? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: In light of Justice Kennedy's retirement, will the momentum that's been building for Democrats dissipate from now until Election Day?
#1
Yes.  Republicans, especially those of the culturally conservative persuasion, will turn out in droves to protect the SupremeCourt's rightward bent.
 
#2
No.  Other factors, such as the tariffs, Mueller, the world stage, etc. will come into play.
 
#3
It could go either way.
 
#4
Undecided.
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 106

Author Topic: Is the Blue Wave dead?  (Read 2861 times)
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« on: June 27, 2018, 09:32:04 PM »

Yes it is.  All sensible Americans (Democrats) should start planning to leave the United States now and relocate to Canada.  It's not a defeat, it's a strategic withdrawal.
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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #1 on: June 27, 2018, 09:43:39 PM »

Of course exit polls aren't perfect but they're better than unsubstantiated opinions

In your vote, were Supreme Court appointments
The most important factor: 21%
An important factor: 48%
A minor factor: 14%
Not a factor at all: 14%

Hillary Clinton did much better relative to Trump with those who said it was either 'a minor factor' or 'not a factor at all.'

https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls/national/president

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136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
« Reply #2 on: June 27, 2018, 09:55:09 PM »

70% of Americans cant name a single SCOTUS justice and only 1% can name all of 9.

Nobody gives a dead mooses last shi*t about Kennedy retiring

The confirmation will be on the news a lot

Do you honestly think that Trump supporters will be watching it? Yes, I'm sure that the de-evolved cro-magnons  that are Trump supporters will immediately call out of work at their local ditch digging gig to tune into the intellectual questioning of Trump's SCOTUS nominees.

70% of Americans cant name a single SCOTUS justice and only 1% can name all of 9.

Nobody gives a dead mooses last shi*t about Kennedy retiring

Not that I disagree that Americans are extremely dumb, I'm a frequent proponent of this truism. But you don't need to know their names to know what's at stake.


They honestly dont. The vast majority of American voters just sleep walk through life totally unaware of whats at stake. If you told most Trump supporters that ''Kennedy retired from the SCOTUS,'' theyd probably respond: ''JFK wuz on da Supreme Kourt?''


Again its not Kennedy but the confirmation process will be mentioned throughout the campaign and in Red States that will make the Abortion Issue brought up a lot

You have a misunderstanding of how American politics actually work. Nobody cares about the issues...it's all about who activates the tribes in their party but for the most part an existential threat is necessary to motivate your base. Nobody cares about SCOTUS or abortion...the prime motivator for Republicans in 2016 was their insane hatred of Clinton and Obama who many on the right literally though was out to get them and thus posed an existential threat. With both of them gone, you couldn't turn out Republicans if you promised to legalize incest.

Of course exit polls aren't perfect but they're better than unsubstantiated opinions

In your vote, were Supreme Court appointments
The most important factor: 21%
An important factor: 48%
A minor factor: 14%
Not a factor at all: 14%

Hillary Clinton did much better with those who said it was either 'a minor factor' or 'not a factor at all.'

https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls/national/president



People are lying to the opinion polls. Most Republican voters just took their cues from their party leaders: ''were voting for a Conservative SCOTUS because that's what FOX, and Republican talk radio told us what we were voting for.''

I don't know if that's true or not, but I agree that is one of the dangers of just relying on polls.  However, generally something is better than nothing.
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