2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Roronoa D. Law]

Newsflash: Trump is losing every uncalled state besides Alaska.

You're forgetting NC, right?

NC is potentially doable for Biden (although perhaps a bit of a stretch).

There are over 2x votes outstanding compared to the size of the Trump lead....

Most of these are in the heavily DEM strongholds so a 2:1 Biden lead could do it (Even w/o late arriving ballot anticipated lawsuits).

Figure you already know that being a DEM from NC, but figured I would put it out there for those who haven't been tracking, and I had a few people ask me why I didn't consider NC to be a lock for Trump in the early Morning hours after Election Night.   

It's not impossible, but it would take a near miracle. Trust, I wish it would happen, and I'm not a concern troll, but I just don't see NC happening. Not this time.

When all said and done its going to be close probably less than a 1 point for Trump.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Go Georgia

[Roronoa D. Law]

It's a good question on what exactly is the ceiling for a lot of these urban counties. Cuyahoga and Wayne likely hit their ceiling under Obama. NYC under Hillary. But Multnomah OR, Suffolk MA, and Orleans LA. Like how high can these places go? There are thousands of people.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Yeah if it wasn't for NC (I think FL was a mirage) most projection would've been spot on.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Ok, they can call Nevada at this point.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Business Insider has called the election for Biden.

https://www.businessinsider.com/2020-election-results

[Roronoa D. Law]

2020 has shown us that the only thing that makes MN, ME, and OR look winnable for Republicans is 3rd parties.

[Roronoa D. Law]

https://twitter.com/BoKnowsNews/status/1324764594917773315

Victory speech?

Yes and No, I expect.

He'll say he's starting the starting the transition so they can "hit the ground running", and that they're acting on the apparent win. At the same time, they're going to "abide by the legal process" and "make sure every vote counts". He will also throw a little shade at  Trump's desperate lawsuits, and a lot of shade at Trump's attacks on our elections.

I hope the networks call the race before his speech.

I hope the networks call the race before Trump nukes Harrisburg.

*Philly

Do you really think Trump knows that Harrisburg exists, let alone knows it’s the capital?

Trump probably thinks the steps from Rocky is PA capitol.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Also giving pronunciation lessons: DeKalb (second syllable like taxi cab) County; House-ton County; Al-Bane-y.

I found out from watching CNN that DeKalb and Gwinnett are actually pronounced duh-KAB and gwin-ETT, not duh-KAHLB and GWIN-it. Good thing no one on Atlas could hear me mentally mispronouncing DeKalb, Gwinnett, and Albany counties! I already knew about House-ton from someone on Atlas though.

Great! Now try Dacula, Dahlonega, Lithonia, and Martinez. 

[Roronoa D. Law]

Democrats went from holding 87 of the 100 largest counties to 91 of the 100 largest. We are getting there. Who knows we may be at 96/100 come 2024 unless that bipolar county with two names pulls something.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Democrats went from holding 87 of the 100 largest counties to 91 of the 100 largest. We are getting there. Who knows we may be at 96/100 come 2024 unless that bipolar county with two names pulls something.

I don't expect 2016 and 2020 suburban trends to continue in 2024.  The downballot races this year show that people have overestimated the extent to which the suburbs were revolting against Republicans.  Rather, they were simply turning against Donald Trump himself.

That the same thing Democrat said about rural and white working-class voters with Obama. They just didn't want to vote for the black man they said. Democrats problem with those voters proceeded Obama and Republicans problems with suburban voters proceeded Trump.

Democrats went from holding 87 of the 100 largest counties to 91 of the 100 largest. We are getting there. Who knows we may be at 96/100 come 2024 unless that bipolar county with two names pulls something.

Which are the ones we're not winning yet?

Suffolk NY, Collin TX, Macomb MI, Kern CA, Oklahoma OK, Lee FL, Denton TX, El Paso CO, Polk FL

[Roronoa D. Law]

Democrats went from holding 87 of the 100 largest counties to 91 of the 100 largest. We are getting there. Who knows we may be at 96/100 come 2024 unless that bipolar county with two names pulls something.

I don't expect 2016 and 2020 suburban trends to continue in 2024.  The downballot races this year show that people have overestimated the extent to which the suburbs were revolting against Republicans.  Rather, they were simply turning against Donald Trump himself.

That the same thing Democrat said about rural and white working-class voters with Obama. They just didn't want to vote for the black man they said. Democrats problem with those voters proceeded Obama and Republicans problems with suburban voters proceeded Trump.

Democrats went from holding 87 of the 100 largest counties to 91 of the 100 largest. We are getting there. Who knows we may be at 96/100 come 2024 unless that bipolar county with two names pulls something.

Which are the ones we're not winning yet?

Suffolk NY, Collin TX, Macomb MI, Kern CA, Oklahoma OK, Lee FL, Denton TX, El Paso CO, Polk FL

Wait you're telling me that party of liberal elitists isn't winning the Hamptons?

North Shore > The Hamptons. Always been that way.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Joe Biden is my President!